The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sol de Mayo 43%
Draw 30.3%
Huracán Las Heras 26.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.8%
28.3%
32.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.1%
28.1%
32.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sol de Mayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
Huracán Las Heras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Huracán Las Heras might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sol de Mayo than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huracán Las Heras than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Huracán Las Heras could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sol de Mayo - Huracán Las Heras Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Nadal J. (G) 5. Arias A. 11. Barry S. 9. Mazzola N. 4. Miguez L. 2. Nunez E. 3. Ortiz T. 8. Quilen L. 10. Reyes A. 6. Rios R. 7. Valdebenito F.
1. Aracena C. (G) 3. Aguilar J. 2. Aldunate B. 4. Bonacorso E. 7. Cortes F. 9. Lucero J. 6. Montenegro E. 11. Munoz A. 5. Sandoval N. 8. Tifner H. 10. Verdugo A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Galdame R. ⚽,
35', Lucero J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 🟨,
67', 🟨,
70', 1 - 1, ⚽,
71', 🟨,
77', 🟥,
77', 🟨,
82', 🟨,
87', 2 - 1, Reyes A. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sol de Mayo won 2.
Sol de Mayo has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Huracán Las Heras's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Huracán Las Heras may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Sol de Mayo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Sol de Mayo won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).