Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 10

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Fortin (Rawson)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Germinal		Sol de Mayo

	1	X	2
	1.88	3	3.8
	1.58	3.45	5.3
	1.61	3.64	4.34
	1.62	4.16	4.74	Watch
	1.62	3.3	5
	1.82	3.14	4.29
	1.9	3.05	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.9)	3.39 ↑ (3.05)	4.47 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Germinal
52.9%

Draw
26.8%

Sol de Mayo
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

29.4%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

28.1%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Germinal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Germinal's performance.

Sol de Mayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Germinal than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sol de Mayo than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Germinal - Sol de Mayo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Germinal will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Sol de Mayo will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Molini L. (G) 9. Carcamo F. 5. Macaroff N. 3. Moreno A. 8. Nunez G. 7. Oliveri T. 2. Rios N. 10. Rojas J. 6. Teran I. 11. Velazquez J. 4. Yocco L.	1. Torres L. (G) 3. Amud L. 2. Areco G. 5. Gimenez F. 11. Jara G. 10. Jara S. 4. Lopez S. 9. Morales H. 6. Perez S. 8. Quilen L. 7. Valdebenito F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, Velazquez J. ⚽,
62', 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Germinal won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Germinal is considered a favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Germinal won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Germinal won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Germinal
Argentinian Torneo Federal
17.05.26	Germinal - Guillermo Brown	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Germinal	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	Germinal - Alvarado	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Santamarina de Tandil - Germinal	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Germinal - Villa Mitre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TLWTW
- Club Sol de Mayo
Argentinian Torneo Federal
17.05.26	Villa Mitre - Sol de Mayo	2:1 ✺
10.05.26	Sol de Mayo - Círculo Deportivo	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Sol de Mayo	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Sol de Mayo - Guillermo Brown	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Sol de Mayo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
22.03.26	Sol de Mayo - Germinal	1:1
24.08.25	Germinal - Sol de Mayo	1:2
13.07.25	Germinal - Sol de Mayo	3:1
11.05.25	Sol de Mayo - Germinal	1:1
16.06.24	Germinal - Sol de Mayo	3:0
21.04.24	Sol de Mayo - Germinal	2:2
29.10.23	Germinal - Sol de Mayo	1:2

Germinal - Sol de Mayo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide