Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 30

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Soligorsk		Smorgon

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.7	3.05
	1.91	3.7	3.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 (1.91)	3.7 (3.7)	3.11 ↓ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 11%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Soligorsk
47%

Draw
24.2%

Smorgon
28.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.2%

24.3%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

23.3%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Soligorsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Smorgon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Soligorsk than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Soligorsk - Smorgon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dostanko I. (G) 10. Bara Y. 14. Bystrov A. 3. Chizh A. 4. Korshun N. 15. Lozhachnik D. 7. Sen I. 99. Shaula N. 21. Syrisko V. 5. Udodov I. 80. Yankovskiy K. (C)	1. Azarko M. (G) 3. Autko M. 30. Fartuna B. 18. Gribovskiy R. 2. Intsoen C. (C) 99. Malashenko G. 52. Mychelkin E. 7. Nsangou J. 33. Poznyak A. 23. Stankevich A. 27. Tishko A.
Substitutes
18. Berkov N. 8. Bystrov A. 22. Chakur A. 9. Ganich V. 13. Kurbachev A. 12. Novik K. 2. Perepechko A. 35. Yukhnovich V. (G)	22. Galko V. 59. Kabachevskiy V. 78. Kovalevich V. 47. Kukhley R. 16. Perov D. (G) 11. Sivkov I. 25. Yarotskiy Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Bara Y. ⚽, Shaula N. (A),
31', 🟨,
33', 🟨,
38', 🟨,
45', 🟨,
45+2', 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
56', 2 - 0, Bara Y. ⚽, Lozhachnik D. (A),
63', 3 - 0, Shaula N. ⚽, Syrisko V. (A),
69', 4 - 0, Kurbachev A. ⚽, Sen I. (A),

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 7th and 10th).

Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.

Soligorsk is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Soligorsk has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Soligorsk	30	13	8	9	60:46	14	47
10	Smorgon	30	11	6	13	36:40	-4	39

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Soligorsk
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
17.10.26	Ostrovets - Soligorsk	1:1 ✺
10.10.26	Soligorsk - BumProm Gomel	3:1 ✺
03.10.26	Slonim - Soligorsk	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Soligorsk - Minsk 2	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Soligorsk - Osipovichi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWTWW
- FC Smorgon
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
17.10.26	Smorgon - BumProm Gomel	1:0 ✺
11.10.26	Minsk 2 - Smorgon	0:2 ✺
03.10.26	Smorgon - Osipovichi	2:0 ✺
25.09.26	Lida - Smorgon	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Smorgon - Niva Dolbizno	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
27.06.26	Smorgon - Soligorsk	2:0

Soligorsk - Smorgon