Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 27

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Yunost Stadium (Smorgon)


	Smorgon		Osipovichi

	1	X	2
	1.58	4.15	4.40
	1.45	4.50	4.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.6)	4.33 ↑ (4.1)	4.65 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Smorgon
59.7%

Draw
20.9%

Osipovichi
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

22.1%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

21.2%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Smorgon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Osipovichi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osipovichi than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Azarko M. (G) 77. Bogdanovich I. 17. Dukso M. 30. Fartuna B. 2. Intsoen C. (C) 47. Kukhley R. 99. Malashenko G. 7. Nsangou J. 23. Stankevich A. 27. Tishko A. 25. Yarotskiy Y.	33. Yaroshevich E. (G) 27. Alekseev I. (C) 12. Grin A. 18. Khadzhiev A. 25. Lomako S. 15. Petrovsky O. 2. Ssorin D. 8. Tishurov I. 29. Vasilkevich M. 4. Zhordochkin M. 19. Zimin A.
Substitutes
22. Galko V. 18. Gribovskiy R. 59. Kabachevskiy V. 78. Kovalevich V. 52. Mychelkin E. 16. Perov D. (G) 33. Poznyak A. 11. Sivkov I. 19. Velesyuk A. (G)	7. Azarov M. 17. Emeljanov A. 22. Emeljanov A. 3. Grekovich V. 11. Kovardaev T. 9. Kulikov D. 1. Makarov M. (G) 14. Minets T. 6. Mishin G. 20. Pyshnik D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 12th and 18th in the Relegation).

In recent outings, Smorgon has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Osipovichi has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Osipovichi could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Smorgon for this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Smorgon has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:1 (averaging 2.3:0.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Smorgon against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Smorgon	27	9	6	12	33:36	-3	33
18	Osipovichi	27	5	4	18	29:67	-38	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Smorgon
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
25.09.26	Lida - Smorgon	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Smorgon - Niva Dolbizno	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	SKA-1938 - Smorgon	0:2 ✺
06.09.26	Smorgon - Slutsk	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Dinamo Minsk 2 - Smorgon	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.9 LWWTL
- FC Osipovichi
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
19.09.26	Minsk 2 - Osipovichi	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Soligorsk - Osipovichi	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Osipovichi - Lida	1:2 ✺
30.08.26	Niva Dolbizno - Osipovichi	6:0 ✺
22.08.26	Osipovichi - SKA-1938	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
06.06.26	Osipovichi - Smorgon	0:5
21.05.22	Smorgon - Osipovichi	1:0
07.10.17	Osipovichi - Smorgon	1:1

Smorgon - Osipovichi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide