Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 29

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Yunost Stadium (Smorgon) 🌤️ ...


	Smorgon		BumProm Gomel

	1	X	2
	2.48	3.72	2.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 (2.48)	3.72 (3.72)	2.22 (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 12.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Smorgon
35.9%

Draw
23.9%

BumProm Gomel
40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

23%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Smorgon have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for BumProm Gomel have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BumProm Gomel than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Azarko M. (G) 3. Autko M. 77. Bogdanovich I. 17. Dukso M. 2. Intsoen C. (C) 47. Kukhley R. 99. Malashenko G. 52. Mychelkin E. 7. Nsangou J. 33. Poznyak A. 25. Yarotskiy Y.	16. Yarukov V. (G) 66. Absamadov S. 11. Dubrovskiy V. 47. Kabyshev A. 5. Kaplunov D. 4. Kruzhilin S. 91. Miroevskiy A. 21. Ovsyanik N. 9. Sidorenko K. 8. Zhestkin I. (C) 59. Zhevnerenko A.
Substitutes
22. Galko V. 59. Kabachevskiy V. 16. Perov D. (G) 11. Sivkov I. 23. Stankevich A. 27. Tishko A. 19. Velesyuk A. (G)	10. Drapeza V. 93. Isachenko E. (G) 20. Kazimir M. 2. Kutkovich G. 77. Latykhov D. 29. Samotoy M. 95. Tychko M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9th and 8th).

Smorgon is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

BumProm has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Smorgon has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	BumProm Gomel	30	12	5	13	54:48	6	41
10	Smorgon	30	11	6	13	36:40	-4	39

Last Results with these Odds

BumProm Gomel - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 40.13%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Smorgon
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
11.10.26	Minsk 2 - Smorgon	0:2 ✺
03.10.26	Smorgon - Osipovichi	2:0 ✺
25.09.26	Lida - Smorgon	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Smorgon - Niva Dolbizno	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	SKA-1938 - Smorgon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 WWLWW
- FC BumProm Gomel
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
10.10.26	Soligorsk - BumProm Gomel	3:1 ✺
04.10.26	BumProm Gomel - Minsk 2	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	BumProm Gomel - Lida	4:0 ✺
13.09.26	Niva Dolbizno - BumProm Gomel	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	BumProm Gomel - SKA-1938	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
20.06.26	BumProm Gomel - Smorgon	2:1

Smorgon - BumProm Gomel