Match Info

National League - Round 27

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Damson Park (Solihull)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Solihull Moors		Carlisle United

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.4	2.55
	2.52	3.45	2.48
	2.67	3.51	2.44	Watch
	2.45	3.5	2.5
	2.44	3.44	2.44
	2.5	3.6	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (3.33)	3.48 ↑ (3.47)	2.49 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Solihull Moors
36.7%

Draw
26.4%

Carlisle United
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

26.5%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

25.6%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Solihull Moors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Solihull Moors's performance.

Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carlisle United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Solihull Moors than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Solihull Moors that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carlisle United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Solihull Moors - Carlisle United Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Solihull will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Carlisle will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Carlisle (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Walker L. (G) 2. Clarke J. 26. French T. 5. Whitmore A. (C) 3. Green C. 12. Lipsiuc D. 15. High S. 16. Tipton O. 18. Wakeling J. 22. Sbarra J. 10. Wilkinson C.	1. Breeze G. (G) 22. Williams J. 5. Feeney M. (C) 6. Hayden A. 12. Galvin R. 20. Gilliead A. 37. Macadam H. 38. Conn-Clarke C. 14. Embleton E. 10. Linney R. 9. Kelly G.
Substitutes
33. Flahavan A. (G) 7. McFarlane C. 21. Rutherford O. 19. Sonupe E. 29. Stevenson B. 11. Worman B.	7. Ajiboye D. 18. Ellis J. 3. Harper C. 25. Lewis H. (G) 26. Mugabi B. 16. Wearne S. 8. Whelan C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Kelly G. ⚽,
14', Hayden A. 🟨,
26', 1 - 1, Lipsiuc D. ⚽, High S. (A),
37', 2 - 1, Lipsiuc D. ⚽, Sbarra J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', Embleton E. 🟨,
54', Feeney M. 🟨,
63', Galvin R. ↓, Harper C. ↑,
63', Embleton E. ↓, Ellis J. ↑,
66', 2 - 2, Kelly G. ⚽, Macadam H. (A),
70', Green C. 🟨,
71', 2 - 3, Kelly G. ⚽, Conn-Clarke C. (A),
74', Wakeling J. ↓, Sonupe E. ↑,
79', Lipsiuc D. ↓, Stevenson B. ↑,
79', Tipton O. ↓, Worman B. ↑,
85', Stevenson B. 🟨,
90+1', Conn-Clarke C. ↓, Mugabi B. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 3, High S. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Carlisle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Solihull won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Carlisle	13	4	5	4	23:20	3	17
23	Solihull Moors	13	2	1	10	13:35	-22	7

Last Results with these Odds

Solihull Moors - the odds 3.33 are the expected chance of winning is 27.64%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Solihull Moors
English National League
10.01.26	Aldershot Town - Solihull Moors	1:5 ✺
30.12.25	Boreham Wood - Solihull Moors	2:1 ✺
26.12.25	Solihull Moors - Tamworth	7:1 ✺
21.12.25	Solihull Moors - Sutton United	4:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Solihull Moors - Fylde	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWWL
- Carlisle United
English FA Trophy
10.01.26	Chatham Town - Carlisle United	1:0 ✺
English National League
03.01.26	Carlisle United - Wealdstone	2:0 ✺
30.12.25	Carlisle United - Morecambe	1:0 ✺
26.12.25	Gateshead - Carlisle United	0:3 ✺
21.12.25	Boreham Wood - Carlisle United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
19.08.25	Carlisle United - Solihull Moors	1:1

Solihull Moors - Carlisle United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide