The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Altrincham 43.8%
Draw 27.5%
Kidderminster Harriers 28.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.9%
25.2%
21.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.6%
24.4%
21.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Altrincham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Altrincham's form might have worsened.
Kidderminster Harriers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kidderminster Harriers's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altrincham than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Altrincham, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kidderminster Harriers than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kidderminster Harriers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
78.6%
7.1%
14.3%
Altrincham - Kidderminster Harriers Predictions
Users Predictions:
Altrincham will win
(11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%). Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. Ross E. (G) 2. Banks L. 4. Baines L. 3. Jones E. 15. Cooper J. 8. Marriott I. (C) 30. Newby A. 6. Osborne E. 11. Amaluzor J. 14. Angus D. 10. Conn-Clarke C.
21. Dibble C. (G) 2. Penny A. 22. Maguire B. 3. Richards C. 5. Pearce K. (C) 6. McNally R. 20. Robinson S. 12. Oxlade-Chamberlain C. 9. Morgan-Smith A. 24. Hobson B. 7. Phillips K.
Substitutes
17. Donawa J. 21. Gould M. (G) 5. Jones J. 16. Roscoe S. 28. Sithole G.
14. Brown Z. 10. Hemmings A. 15. McDonagh G. 19. McLean R. 16. Preston M.
Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Altrincham won 1.
Altrincham is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Kidderminster is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Kidderminster could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Altrincham will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Altrincham won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-19.
Including matches at home between the teams Altrincham won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-8.