Match Info

National League - Round 12

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Aggborough Stadium (Kidderminster)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Kidderminster Harriers		Sutton United

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.2	2.75
	2.35	3.10	2.65
	2.32	3.2	2.9
	2.4	3.16	3.23
	2.48	3.34	2.73	Watch
	2.35	3.1	3.1
	2.44	3.29	2.82
	2.33	3.25	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.19)	3.21 ↓ (3.38)	2.89 ↓ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kidderminster Harriers
38.9%

Draw
28.9%

Sutton United
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

27.5%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

26.8%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kidderminster Harriers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Sutton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kidderminster Harriers than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Kidderminster Harriers - Sutton United Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sutton will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sutton (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wint J. (G) 8. Crompton B. 4. Harries C. 5. MacDonald A. 3. Giles L. 33. Devine R. 20. Hargreaves C. 14. Brown Z. 26. Davis D. (C) 28. Stewart C. 10. Dolan C.	1. Brits S. (G) 2. Donkor K. 5. Nightingale W. 15. Moore-Taylor J. 27. Brookes B. 7. Osadebe E. 14. Mussa O. 8. Taylor J. (C) 23. Nzuzi N. 11. Folarin S. 16. Njoku B.
Substitutes
12. Amantchi L. 13. Bishop J. (G) 7. Brogan M. 2. Hall R. 11. Mahoney C. 16. Minaker B. 17. Moore E.	9. Babalola T. 6. Bell C. 13. Haigh Ch. (G) 19. Knight J. 18. Ogbonna D. 3. Topalloj B. 12. Urpens D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Stewart C. ⚽,
31', Harries C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Brits S. 🟨,
61', MacDonald A. ↓, Hall R. ↑,
61', Folarin S. ↓, Ogbonna D. ↑,
62', Njoku B. ↓, Babalola T. ↑,
66', Brown Z. ↓, Brogan M. ↑,
74', Nzuzi N. ↓, Bell C. ↑,
79', Stewart C. ↓, Amantchi L. ↑,
79', Dolan C. ↓, Mahoney C. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Mussa O. ⚽, Babalola T. (A),

Preview

A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 9th and 11th).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Kidderminster could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Kidderminster has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:2 (averaging 2:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Kidderminster against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:2 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).

Outrights of English National League for now

Sutton: 0.8% Kidderminster: 0.73%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Kidderminster	12	5	4	3	15:12	3	19
11	Sutton	12	5	3	4	14:16	-2	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kidderminster Harriers
English National League North
29.09.26	Boreham Wood - Kidderminster Harriers	3:1 ✺
English National League
26.09.26	Kidderminster Harriers - Yeovil Town	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Woking - Kidderminster Harriers	0:0 ✺
English National League North
16.09.26	Kidderminster Harriers - Gateshead	1:0 ✺
11.09.26	Kidderminster Harriers - Hartlepool United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLTWW
- Sutton United
English National League
30.09.26	Tamworth - Sutton United	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Sutton United - Forest Green Rovers	3:3 ✺
19.09.26	Halifax Town - Sutton United	1:1 ✺
English National League North
15.09.26	Sutton United - Eastleigh	2:1 ✺
English National League
12.09.26	Sutton United - Scunthorpe United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
01.02.25	Kidderminster Harriers - Sutton United	0:1
English FA Cup
09.11.13	Kidderminster Harriers - Sutton United	4:1

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