Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 37

Date: 7 March 2023, Tuesday


	Solihull Moors		Torquay United

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	4.2
	1.77	3.5	3.7
	1.73	3.7	4.2
	1.75	3.92	4.51
	1.95	3.4	3.4
	1.72	3.82	4.3
	1.74	3.7	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.97)	3.66 ↑ (3.62)	4.06 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Solihull Moors
52.2%

Draw
25.1%

Torquay United
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

25.4%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

22.5%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Solihull Moors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Solihull Moors's performance.

Torquay United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Torquay United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Solihull Moors than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Solihull Moors that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torquay United than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Torquay United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Solihull Moors - Torquay United Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Solihull will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Torquay will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Solihull: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Solihull won 3.

Recent matches Solihull is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Torquay is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Solihull could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Solihull will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Solihull won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Solihull won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Solihull Moors
English National League
04.03.23	Solihull Moors - Maidstone United	2:0 ✺
25.02.23	Altrincham - Solihull Moors	4:1 ✺
21.02.23	Halifax Town - Solihull Moors	1:1 ✺
18.02.23	Solihull Moors - Chesterfield	0:0 ✺
14.02.23	Boreham Wood - Solihull Moors	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLTTT
- Torquay United
English National League
04.03.23	Aldershot Town - Torquay United	1:1 ✺
28.02.23	Torquay United - Bromley	1:2 ✺
25.02.23	Torquay United - Southend United	1:2 ✺
21.02.23	Dorking Wanderers - Torquay United	3:2 ✺
18.02.23	Torquay United - Barnet	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
13.09.22	Torquay United - Solihull Moors	1:4
25.01.22	Torquay United - Solihull Moors	0:2
14.09.21	Solihull Moors - Torquay United	2:1
23.03.21	Torquay United - Solihull Moors	2:0
23.02.21	Solihull Moors - Torquay United	1:2
06.08.19	Solihull Moors - Torquay United	3:0
17.03.18	Solihull Moors - Torquay United	1:1

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