Match Info

National League South - Round 14

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Meadowbank (Dorking)


	Dorking Wanderers		Torquay United

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.5	3.3
	2.25	3.71	2.72
	2.39	3.91	2.49	Watch
	2.01	3.58	3.3
	2.25	3.5	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.39)	3.64 ↓ (3.91)	2.87 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dorking Wanderers
42.5%

Draw
25.4%

Torquay United
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

23.8%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

23.2%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dorking Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Torquay United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Torquay United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torquay United than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Torquay United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dorking Wanderers - Torquay United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Rutherford A. ⚽,
25', 2 - 0, Taylor J. ⚽,
45+3', 3 - 0, Muitt J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+10', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Recent performances by Dorking have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Torquay is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Dorking won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Dorking won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Torquay United - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 37.33%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dorking Wanderers
English National League South
21.10.25	Dover Athletic - Dorking Wanderers	2:2 ✺
18.10.25	Ebbsfleet United - Dorking Wanderers	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Dorking Wanderers - Aldershot Town	2:3 ✺
English National League South
04.10.25	Chelmsford City - Dorking Wanderers	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
30.09.25	Dorking Wanderers - Salisbury	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLLTW
- Torquay United
English National League South
21.10.25	Torquay United - Chippenham Town	3:0 ✺
18.10.25	Chesham United - Torquay United	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Torquay United - Dagenham & Redbridge	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Salisbury - Torquay United	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Torquay United - Ebbsfleet United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
15.03.25	Dorking Wanderers - Torquay United	0:1
24.08.24	Torquay United - Dorking Wanderers	1:0
English National League
21.02.23	Dorking Wanderers - Torquay United	3:2
09.11.22	Torquay United - Dorking Wanderers	3:3

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