Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 36

Date: 4 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Recreation Ground (Aldershot)


	Aldershot Town		Torquay United

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	2.8
	2.2	3.25	2.75
	2.05	3.5	3.2
	2.29	3.56	3.06
	2.2	3.44	3.04
	2.25	3.4	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.73)	3.41 ↓ (3.6)	2.95 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aldershot Town
41.9%

Draw
26.9%

Torquay United
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

24.8%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

21.6%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aldershot Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aldershot Town's form might have worsened.

Torquay United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Torquay United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torquay United than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Aldershot Town - Torquay United Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Torquay will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 17 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aldershot won 1.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Aldershot could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Torquay have a series of home games.

Aldershot will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Aldershot won 7 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 21-31.

Including matches at home between the teams Aldershot won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aldershot Town
English National League
25.02.23	Barnet - Aldershot Town	4:1 ✺
21.02.23	Dagenham & Redbridge - Aldershot Town	2:1 ✺
18.02.23	Aldershot Town - Wrexham	3:4 ✺
14.02.23	Aldershot Town - Chesterfield	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
11.02.23	Aldershot Town - Dorking Wanderers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLLTW
- Torquay United
English National League
28.02.23	Torquay United - Bromley	1:2 ✺
25.02.23	Torquay United - Southend United	1:2 ✺
21.02.23	Dorking Wanderers - Torquay United	3:2 ✺
18.02.23	Torquay United - Barnet	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
11.02.23	Torquay United - Barnet	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
01.11.22	Torquay United - Aldershot Town	6:1
22.03.22	Torquay United - Aldershot Town	4:0
23.11.21	Aldershot Town - Torquay United	1:0
27.04.21	Torquay United - Aldershot Town	2:1
27.10.20	Aldershot Town - Torquay United	1:4
English FA Trophy
14.12.19	Torquay United - Aldershot Town	5:1
English National League
24.08.19	Torquay United - Aldershot Town	2:0

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