Match Info

TURKEY: 2. LIG RED GROUP - ROUND 26

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Somaspor		Kastamonuspor

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.1	2.05
	3.25	3.25	2.15	Watch
	2.97	2.97	2.09
	3.29	3.24	2.15
	3.28	3.2	2.09
	3.2	3.15	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (2.68)	3.15 ↑ (2.99)	2.11 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Somaspor
28.2%

Draw
28.7%

Kastamonuspor
43%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.4%

30.8%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

30.5%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Somaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Somaspor's form might have worsened.

Kastamonuspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kastamonuspor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Somaspor than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Somaspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kastamonuspor than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kastamonuspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Somaspor - Kastamonuspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Somaspor will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Kastamonuspor will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Lig Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Somaspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Somaspor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Somaspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
11.02.24	İnegölspor - Somaspor	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Somaspor - Fethiyespor	1:1 ✺
31.01.24	24 Erzincanspor - Somaspor	2:0 ✺
27.01.24	Somaspor - Etimesgut	2:1 ✺
20.01.24	Arnavutköy - Somaspor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTLWW
- Kastamonuspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
11.02.24	Kastamonuspor - Igdirspor	1:1 ✺
31.01.24	İnegölspor - Kastamonuspor	1:1 ✺
27.01.24	Kastamonuspor - Fethiyespor	2:0 ✺
21.01.24	24 Erzincanspor - Kastamonuspor	2:1 ✺
14.01.24	Kastamonuspor - Etimesgut	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
08.10.23	Kastamonuspor - Somaspor	1:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Somaspor
Turkish Cup
28.10.26	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Somaspor	✺

Somaspor - Kastamonuspor