Match Info

2. Lig Red Group - Round 19

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Somaspor		Fethiyespor

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.05	2.22
	2.94	3.28	2.26	Watch
	2.91	3.13	2.28
	2.85	3.1	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↓ (3.54)	3.14 ↓ (3.32)	2.26 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Somaspor
31.3%

Draw
28.7%

Fethiyespor
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

27.3%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

26.2%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Somaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Somaspor's performance.

Fethiyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fethiyespor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Somaspor than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Somaspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fethiyespor than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fethiyespor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Somaspor - Fethiyespor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Cevik R. ⚽, Eralp S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 1 - 1, Ozkal M. ⚽, Senocak E. (A),
60', 1 - 2, Ayhan U. ⚽, Cevik R. (A),

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Recent performances by Somaspor have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Fethiyespor is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Fethiyespor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Fethiyespor will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Somaspor won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Somaspor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Fethiyespor	5	1	1	3	3:8	-5	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Somaspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
10.01.26	Guzide Gebzespor - Somaspor	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor - Somaspor	6:0 ✺
16.12.25	Somaspor - Bursaspor	0:3 ✺
12.12.25	Aksaray Belediyespor - Somaspor	1:3 ✺
06.12.25	Somaspor - Menemenspor	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 38.6 WLLWL
- Fethiyespor
Turkish Cup
13.01.26	Fethiyespor - Galatasaray	1:2 ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
10.01.26	Fethiyespor - Ankara Demirspor	0:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
24.12.25	Boluspor - Fethiyespor	0:0 ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
21.12.25	Fethiyespor - Mardin 1969	0:0 ✺
16.12.25	Muş Spor - Fethiyespor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
30.08.25	Fethiyespor - Somaspor	1:1
04.02.24	Somaspor - Fethiyespor	1:1
23.09.23	Fethiyespor - Somaspor	1:1

Upcoming Matches