Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 23Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday
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Somozas |
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Alondras |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.25 |
3 |
2.98 |
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2.38 |
3.09 |
2.93 |
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2.31 |
3.12 |
2.99 |
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2.3 |
2.9 |
2.9 |
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2.33 |
3.02 |
2.94 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.31 ↑ (2.12) |
3.03 ↓ (3.08) |
2.95 ↓ (3.28) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Somozas 39.2% | Draw 30% | Alondras 30.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Somozas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Alondras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Somozas than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alondras than the current prediction. (+1.1%)Somozas - Alondras Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Cambon J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 90+5', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: ) and 13).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Somozas won 2.Recent performances by Somozas have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).Alondras is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0). Somozas will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Somozas won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.7:0.8).Including home matches between the teams, Somozas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 7 | Alondras | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
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| 13 | Somozas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 5 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 | | | 12.10.25 | Alondras - Somozas | 1:3 | | 09.02.25 | Somozas - Alondras | 0:2 | | 29.09.24 | Alondras - Somozas | 1:1 | | 03.02.24 | Somozas - Alondras | 2:0 | | 17.09.23 | Alondras - Somozas | 2:1 | | 12.03.23 | Somozas - Alondras | 0:1 | | 19.11.22 | Alondras - Somozas | 1:1 |
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