Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 25

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Compostela		Alondras

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.35	4.7
	1.64	3.6	5.07
	1.64	3.58	5.04
	1.65	3.25	5
	1.74	3.55	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.62)	3.47 ↓ (3.6)	4.9 ↑ (4.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Compostela
55%

Draw
26.3%

Alondras
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

25.2%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

25.9%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Compostela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Alondras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Compostela than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alondras than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Compostela - Alondras Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 2 - 0, ⚽,
68', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 6).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Compostela may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Compostela is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Compostela won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 2.2:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Compostela won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Alondras	5	3	0	2	10:9	1	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Compostela
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
08.03.26	Lugo B - Compostela	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Juventud Cambados - Compostela	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Silva SD - Compostela	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Compostela - Céltiga	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Compostela - Boiro	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLWT
- Alondras CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
08.03.26	Alondras - Estradense	2:2 ✺
22.02.26	Alondras - Montañeros	3:2 ✺
14.02.26	Arosa - Alondras	2:2 ✺
08.02.26	Alondras - Atlético Arteixo	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Noia - Alondras	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
25.10.25	Alondras - Compostela	0:2
19.01.20	Compostela - Alondras	1:0
03.02.19	Compostela - Alondras	4:1
09.09.18	Alondras - Compostela	2:3
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
08.04.18	Compostela - Alondras	1:0

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