The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Somozas 61.2%
Draw 23.5%
Arzúa 15.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52%
26.7%
21.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.7%
24.9%
19.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Somozas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Somozas's performance.
Arzúa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arzúa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Somozas than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Somozas that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arzúa than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).
Somozas in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Arzúa has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Arzúa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Somozas is absolute favorite.
Our prediction for today's Somozas to win the game is with odds 1.48.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Somozas won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Somozas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.
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