Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 24

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday


	Soneja		La Nucía

	1	X	2
	4.75	2.98	1.78
	4.88	2.98	1.79
	4.92	3.06	1.8
	4.8	2.9	1.8
	5.12	3.02	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.89 ↑ (4.13)	2.99 ↓ (3.05)	1.78 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Soneja
18.6%

Draw
30.4%

La Nucía
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.9%

29.6%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

29.5%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Soneja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

La Nucía has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Soneja than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Nucía than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Soneja - La Nucía Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 6 (Play Offs: )).

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Soneja may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, La Nucía is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Soneja won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Soneja won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Soneja	5	1	1	3	5:9	-4	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Soneja
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
22.02.26	Crevillente Deportivo - Soneja	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Soneja - Buñol	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Utiel - Soneja	1:2 ✺
25.01.26	Soneja - Vall de Uxó	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Alzira - Soneja	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 TLWWW
- CF La Nucía
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
22.02.26	La Nucía - Buñol	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Utiel - La Nucía	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	La Nucía - Vall de Uxó	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Alzira - La Nucía	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	La Nucía - Español de San Vicente	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
19.10.25	La Nucía - Soneja	1:1
02.03.25	Soneja - La Nucía	0:1

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