Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 23Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Sonseca |
|
Cazalegas |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.45 |
2.98 |
2.72 |
|
 |
1.19 |
5.38 |
19.18 |
Watch |
 |
2.5 |
2.88 |
2.75 |
|
 |
2.46 |
3.05 |
2.7 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.15 ↓ (2.88) |
3.57 ↑ (3.1) |
6.84 ↑ (2.27) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sonseca 52.2% | Draw 31.4% | Cazalegas 16.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sonseca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sonseca's performance.Cazalegas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cazalegas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sonseca than the current prediction. (-21.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sonseca that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cazalegas than the current prediction. (+24.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cazalegas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Sonseca - Cazalegas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 26', 1 - 0, Ferraris B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 79', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 81', 🟥,
- 89', 3 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).Sonseca is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).Cazalegas has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Sonseca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match. In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;