Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 18Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday
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Illescas |
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Sonseca |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.29 |
4.55 |
8.8 |
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 |
1.31 |
4.67 |
9.37 |
 Watch |
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1.29 |
4.8 |
9 |
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1.28 |
5.45 |
9.82 |
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1.26 |
5 |
9 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.29 ↓
(1.46) |
4.89 ↑
(3.95) |
9.2 ↑
(6.41) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Illescas
71.3% | Draw
18.7% | Sonseca
10% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Illescas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Illescas's performance.Sonseca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (-27.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Illescas that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sonseca than the current prediction. (+10.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sonseca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Illescas - Sonseca Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 69', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation).Illescas has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).Sonseca is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).Sonseca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Illescas is the undisputed favorite.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Illescas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | Illescas | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 11 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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