Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 18

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Cazalegas		Villarrubia

	1	X	2
	4.45	3	1.8
	4.61	3.32	1.76
	4.6	3	1.75
	4.8	3.25	1.71
	4.5	3.4	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.59 ↑ (4.53)	3.19 ↑ (3.16)	1.75 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cazalegas
19.7%

Draw
28.4%

Villarrubia
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20%

28.7%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6%

28.1%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cazalegas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Villarrubia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cazalegas than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarrubia than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Cazalegas - Villarrubia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Blazquez S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 1 - 1, Jimenez A. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Cazalegas is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Villarrubia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Villarrubia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Villarrubia is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cazalegas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Cazalegas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Villarrubia	5	0	3	2	3:9	-6	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cazalegas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
11.01.26	Cazalegas - Tarancón	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Pedroñeras - Cazalegas	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Cazalegas - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	1:2 ✺
10.12.25	Cazalegas - Villacañas	0:3 ✺
06.12.25	San Clemente - Cazalegas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTLLL
- Villarrubia CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
11.01.26	Huracán Balazote - Villarrubia	1:2 ✺
06.01.26	Sonseca - Villarrubia	0:3 ✺
20.12.25	Villarrubia - Guadalajara B	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Marchamalo - Villarrubia	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Villarrubia - Azuqueca	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
06.09.25	Villarrubia - Cazalegas	2:1
02.02.25	Cazalegas - Villarrubia	2:1
21.09.24	Villarrubia - Cazalegas	1:0
13.01.24	Villarrubia - Cazalegas	1:0

Cazalegas - Villarrubia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide