Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 13

Date: 6 January 2026, Tuesday


	Sonseca		Villarrubia

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.15	1.39
	8.93	4.55	1.32	Watch
	6	3.6	1.44
	6.41	3.98	1.44
	8	4.75	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.17 ↑ (4.7)	4.21 ↑ (3.15)	1.38 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sonseca
12.6%

Draw
21.6%

Villarrubia
65.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18%

26.9%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.5%

26.2%

56.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sonseca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sonseca's form might have worsened.

Villarrubia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Villarrubia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sonseca than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarrubia than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Villarrubia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Sonseca - Villarrubia Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sonseca will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Villarrubia will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Villarrubia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Eboko M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', 0 - 2, Jimenez A. ⚽,
89', 0 - 3, Chinchu ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Sonseca is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Villarrubia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Villarrubia is the undeniable favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Villarrubia	5	0	3	2	3:9	-6	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Sonseca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
20.12.25	Sonseca - Manchego	0:2 ✺
14.12.25	Sonseca - Azuqueca	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Villarrobledo - Sonseca	5:1 ✺
23.11.25	Albacete B - Sonseca	4:0 ✺
16.11.25	Sonseca - Tarancón	1:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTLLL
- Villarrubia CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
20.12.25	Villarrubia - Guadalajara B	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Marchamalo - Villarrubia	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Villarrubia - Azuqueca	3:1 ✺
22.11.25	Tarancón - Villarrubia	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Villarrubia - Pedroñeras	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWWTW

Sonseca - Villarrubia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide