Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Villarrubia		Pedroñeras

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.3	4.95
	1.63	3.49	5.41
	1.62	3.59	5.39	Watch
	1.65	3.36	5.05
	1.62	3.6	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 (1.63)	3.47 ↓ (3.65)	5.16 ↑ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Villarrubia
55.9%

Draw
26.4%

Pedroñeras
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

25%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

23.9%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarrubia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Pedroñeras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarrubia than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedroñeras than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Villarrubia - Pedroñeras Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', 1 - 0, ⚽,
60', 2 - 0, ⚽,
73', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Villarrubia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pedroñeras's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Pedroñeras may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Villarrubia is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Villarrubia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Villarrubia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarrubia CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
08.11.25	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Villarrubia	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	Villarrubia - San Clemente	3:0 ✺
18.10.25	Villarrubia - Illescas	2:3 ✺
11.10.25	Manchego - Villarrubia	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Villarrubia - Villarrobledo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLTW
- CD Pedroñeras
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
09.11.25	Pedroñeras - Tarancón	1:3 ✺
02.11.25	Sonseca - Pedroñeras	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Pedroñeras	3:1 ✺
27.09.25	Manchego - Pedroñeras	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Pedroñeras - Villarrobledo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
05.04.25	Villarrubia - Pedroñeras	3:3
24.11.24	Pedroñeras - Villarrubia	2:0

Villarrubia - Pedroñeras: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide