Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 17

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani (Potenza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia


	Sorrento		Potenza

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.88	3.3	2.28
	2.52	3.35	2.74
	2.88	3.4	2.24	Watch
	2.4	3	2.63
	2.81	3.18	2.32	Watch
	2.5	3.33	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.64)	3.26 ↓ (3.39)	2.47 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sorrento
34.5%

Draw
28.2%

Potenza
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

27.1%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

27%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sorrento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sorrento than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Potenza than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Sorrento - Potenza Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sorrento will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Sorrento (1.79) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sorrento (votes: 1 - 50%). Potenza (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Del Sorbo L. (G) 26. Di Somma V. 6. Fusco F. 15. Solcia D. 32. Paglino S. 8. Cuccurullo M. 4. Potenza A. 3. Crecco L. 17. Esposito M. 10. Bolsius D. 7. D'Ursi E.	17. Cucchietti T. (G) 98. Adjapong C. 14. Riggio C. 15. Camigliano A. 3. Rocchetti Y. 31. Siatounis A. 23. De Marco A. 77. Ghisolfi M. 21. Schimmenti E. 30. Petrungaro L. 70. Selleri G.
Substitutes
33. Carillo L. 22. Harrasser S. (G) 9. Plescia V. . Riccardi P. 90. Sabbatani A. 29. Santini C. 5. Shaw K. 18. Tonni M.	22. Alastra F. (G) 24. Bachini M. 19. Balzano M. 92. Bruschi N. 47. Bura R. 96. Guiotto G. (G) 5. Lucas Martello 28. Maisto F. 11. Mazzeo L. 35. Novella M. 20. Ragone G. 89. Santucci 4. Sciacca G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Petrungaro L. ⚽,
45+2', Ghisolfi M. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 1, D'Ursi E. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', Riggio C. 🟨,
60', Siatounis A. ↓, Lucas Martello ↑,
63', 1 - 2, De Marco A. ⚽,
64', Di Somma V. ↓, Shaw K. ↑,
66', Shaw K. 🟨,
70', Lucas Martello 🟨,
72', Potenza A. ↓, Riccardi P. ↑,
72', Bolsius D. ↓, Sabbatani A. ↑,
74', Paglino S. ↓, Plescia V. ↑,
76', De Marco A. ↓, Maisto F. ↑,
76', Petrungaro L. ↓, Mazzeo L. ↑,
78', D'Ursi E. 🟨,
83', Schimmenti E. ↓, Bachini M. ↑,
83', Selleri G. ↓, Bruschi N. ↑,
88', 2 - 2, Crecco L. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Sorrento is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Potenza is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sorrento won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Sorrento won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Potenza - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 38.11%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sorrento FC
Italian Serie C Group C
29.11.25	Altamura - Sorrento	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
25.11.25	Sorrento - Crotone	1:3 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
22.11.25	Sorrento - Casertana	1:2 ✺
15.11.25	Crotone - Sorrento	3:1 ✺
09.11.25	Sorrento - Audace Cerignola	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLLL
- Potenza FC
Italian Serie C Group C
30.11.25	Potenza - Casarano	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
26.11.25	Potenza - Audace Cerignola	4:2 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
23.11.25	Salernitana - Potenza	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Potenza - Trapani	2:1 ✺
07.11.25	Cavese - Potenza	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
18.01.25	Sorrento - Potenza	0:2
13.09.24	Potenza - Sorrento	1:0
02.03.24	Sorrento - Potenza	1:1
26.10.23	Potenza - Sorrento	3:0

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