Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 38

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio (Picerno)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Picerno		Sorrento

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.12	3.05	3.4
	2.18	2.87	3.88
	2.09	3.01	3.6	Watch
	2.15	2.9	3.1
	2.11	2.76	3.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.12)	2.92 ↓ (3.22)	3.55 ↑ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Picerno
42.9%

Draw
31.3%

Sorrento
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

28.6%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

28.1%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Picerno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Sorrento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Picerno than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sorrento than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Picerno - Sorrento Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	22. Harrasser S. (G)
	23. Cangianiello S.
	28. Capezzi L.
	3. Crecco L.
	35. Diop S.
	7. D'Ursi E.
	6. Fusco F.
	81. Portanova D.
	16. Ricci F.
	90. Sabbatani A.
	15. Solcia D.
Substitutes
	46. Colombini L.
	. Crisci A.
	31. D'Aniello A. (G)
	1. Del Sorbo L. (G)
	26. Di Somma V.
	11. Esposito M.
	85. Milan M.
	32. Paglino S.
	. Pollio V.
	4. Potenza A.
	73. Ricercato R.
	. Russo
	29. Santini C.
	18. Tonni M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Marino A. ↓, Maiorino P. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pugliese S. ↓, Coppola G. ↑,
62', Ricci F. ↓, Potenza A. ↑,
69', Salvo G. ↓, Bocic M. ↑,
82', Sabbatani A. ↓, Esposito M. ↑,
82', Portanova D. ↓, Paglino S. ↑,
88', Summa E. ↓, Esposito A. ↑,
90+3', Cangianiello S. ↓, Tonni M. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Picerno won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Picerno will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Picerno won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:5. (average 1.9:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Picerno won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:3. (average 2.4:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Sorrento	8	6	0	2	12:7	5	18
8	Picerno	8	4	0	4	16:15	1	12

Last Results with these Odds

Picerno - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 43.43%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AZ Picerno ASD
Italian Serie C Group C
19.04.26	Salernitana - Picerno	2:1 ✺
13.04.26	Picerno - Nuova Cosenza	3:1 ✺
06.04.26	Catania - Picerno	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Picerno - Monopoli	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Siracusa - Picerno	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.7 LWWTL
- Sorrento FC
Italian Serie C Group C
19.04.26	Sorrento - Atalanta U23	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Potenza - Sorrento	3:0 ✺
06.04.26	Sorrento - Altamura	2:0 ✺
30.03.26	Casertana - Sorrento	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Sorrento - Crotone	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
20.12.25	Sorrento - Picerno	1:1
29.03.25	Picerno - Sorrento	2:0
16.11.24	Sorrento - Picerno	1:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
11.08.24	Picerno - Sorrento	2:0
Italian Serie C Group C
11.02.24	Sorrento - Picerno	0:2
01.10.23	Picerno - Sorrento	1:1
Italian Serie D - Group H
09.05.21	Sorrento - Picerno	0:1

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