Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 27

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani (Monopoli)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255


	Monopoli		Sorrento

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.92	3.05	4.15	Watch
	1.94	3.02	4.72
	2.31	2.39	4.38	Watch
	1.91	2.75	4.2
	1.84	2.95	4.56	Watch
	1.9	3	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.74)	2.86 ↓ (3.45)	4.42 ↓ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monopoli
46.8%

Draw
32.3%

Sorrento
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

26.7%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

26.1%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monopoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Monopoli's form might have worsened.

Sorrento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monopoli than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monopoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sorrento than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Monopoli - Sorrento Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Albertazzi M. (G) 35. Piccinini S. 26. Manzi C. 34. Ronco D. 16. Valenti B. 8. Battocchio C. 70. Fedel G. 21. Scipioni E. 31. Oyewale S. 11. Fall M. 9. Longo S.	1. Del Sorbo L. (G) 32. Paglino S. 15. Solcia D. 81. Portanova D. 23. Cangianiello S. 8. Cuccurullo M. 28. Capezzi L. 3. Crecco L. 16. Ricci F. 7. D'Ursi E. 90. Sabbatani A.
Substitutes
5. Angileri A. 29. Antoni E. 80. Bagatti N. 37. Bordo L. 4. Bove D. 19. Calcagni R. 14. Dudic D. 15. Greco J. 22. Piana E. (G) 85. Spano R.	20. Bernabeo S. 31. D'Aniello A. (G) 24. Diop S. 11. Esposito M. 6. Fusco F. 22. Harrasser S. (G) 85. Milan M. 4. Potenza A. 29. Santini C. 18. Tonni M. 30. Vilardi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fedel G. ↓, Calcagni R. ↑,
54', Ronco D. 🟨,
58', Capezzi L. 🟨,
66', 1 - 0, Scipioni E. ⚽,
68', Manzi C. ↓, Greco J. ↑,
68', Oyewale S. ↓, Antoni E. ↑,
69', Cangianiello S. ↓, Esposito M. ↑,
74', Capezzi L. ↓, Potenza A. ↑,
74', Sabbatani A. ↓, Santini C. ↑,
76', Greco J. 🟨,
80', Fall M. ↓, Angileri A. ↑,
86', Scipioni E. ↓, Bagatti N. ↑,
86', Crecco L. ↓, Bernabeo S. ↑,
89', Battocchio C. 🟨,
90+3', Longo S. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monopoli won 2.

Recent form of Monopoli has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sorrento has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sorrento may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Monopoli is a strong favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Monopoli won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.7:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Monopoli won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Sorrento	8	6	0	2	12:7	5	18
9	Monopoli	9	3	3	3	7:7	0	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Monopoli 1966
Italian Serie C Group C
10.02.26	Cavese - Monopoli	1:0 ✺
06.02.26	Altamura - Monopoli	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Monopoli - Latina	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Audace Cerignola - Monopoli	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Monopoli - Catania	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWTL
- Sorrento FC
Italian Serie C Group C
10.02.26	Sorrento - Giugliano	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Casarano - Sorrento	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Sorrento - Catania	3:1 ✺
25.01.26	Sorrento - Salernitana	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Trapani - Sorrento	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
05.10.25	Sorrento - Monopoli	0:0
05.01.25	Sorrento - Monopoli	1:2
31.08.24	Monopoli - Sorrento	0:1
30.03.24	Monopoli - Sorrento	1:0
26.11.23	Sorrento - Monopoli	2:0
Club Friendly
10.08.22	Monopoli - Sorrento	1:1

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