Match Info

NORWAY: Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 11

Date: 15 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Straume Fotballhall (Straume)


	Sotra		Ørn-Horten

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.9	4
	1.63	4.2	4.2
	1.7	3.92	4.23
	1.66	3.98	4.42
	1.67	4	3.75
	1.65	3.98	4.2	Watch
	1.64	4.2	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.59)	4.03 ↓ (4.15)	4.11 ↓ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sotra
55.2%

Draw
22.7%

Ørn-Horten
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

22%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

21.1%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sotra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Ørn-Horten has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sotra than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ørn-Horten than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Sotra - Ørn Horten Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grasmo M. (G) 13. Berge H. 8. Foldnes H. 11. Heltne T. 4. Kalsaas E. 22. Kjorsvik E. 24. Larsen E. 10. Pedersen P. (C) 2. Ree K. 14. Thorsen C. 20. Torum D.	1. Solberg K. (G) 4. Forsund A. (C) 17. Hargott C. 10. Kadriu A. 8. Knutsen T. 28. Larsen Y. 18. Nilsen N. 21. Ottesen M. 5. Pop S. 9. Rogulj A. 24. Schie P.
Substitutes
18. Dirdal B. 7. Falck F. 5. Gjertson N. 25. Herdlevaer H. 12. Johansson D. (G) 21. Osa L. 23. Rottingen K. 9. Syversen O.	15. Auby J. 25. Bamenye F. 19. Hamde D. 11. Helling G. 27. Skulstad-Hansen E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Rogulj A. 🟨,
36', Heltne T. 🟨,
37', Schie P. ↓, Helling G. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Larsen E. ↓, Dirdal B. ↑,
46', Kjorsvik E. ↓, Falck F. ↑,
62', 1 - 0, Foldnes H. ⚽,
67', Hargott C. ↓, Bamenye F. ↑,
74', Kalsaas E. ↓, Gjertson N. ↑,
80', Larsen Y. ↓, Hamde D. ↑,
80', Pop S. ↓, Auby J. ↑,
83', 2 - 0, Dirdal B. ⚽,
86', Berge H. ↓, Rottingen K. ↑,
90', Heltne T. ↓, Syversen O. ↑,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Sotra is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sotra won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Sotra won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sotra SK
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
08.06.24	Brann 2 - Sotra	1:1 ✺
02.06.24	Sotra - Viking 2	1:1 ✺
26.05.24	Sotra - Arendal	2:1 ✺
20.05.24	Flekkerøy - Sotra	0:3 ✺
11.05.24	Sotra - Lysekloster	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TTWWL
- Ørn-Horten
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
09.06.24	Ørn-Horten - Lysekloster	0:2 ✺
02.06.24	Flekkerøy - Ørn-Horten	0:0 ✺
25.05.24	Notodden - Ørn-Horten	2:2 ✺
16.05.24	Ørn-Horten - Eik-Tønsberg	3:2 ✺
13.05.24	Viking 2 - Ørn-Horten	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
01.10.22	Ørn-Horten - Sotra	2:4
03.07.22	Sotra - Ørn-Horten	4:2

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