Match Info

NORWAY: Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 25

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Straume Fotballhall (Straume)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	Direkte Sport, TV2 Play


	Sotra		Hødd

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.5	2.37
	2.5	3.5	2.45
	2.57	3.45	2.54
	2.59	3.47	2.56
	2.46	3.44	2.42
	2.5	3.5	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (3.09)	3.48 ↓ (3.7)	2.47 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sotra
36.6%

Draw
26.3%

Hødd
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

24.8%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

25.8%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sotra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sotra's performance.

Hødd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hødd might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sotra than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sotra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hødd than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hødd could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sotra - Hødd Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grasmo M. (G) 17. Aaserud M. 13. Berge H. 7. Falck F. 8. Foldnes H. 5. Gjertson N. 11. Heltne T. 4. Kalsaas E. 19. Kilen L. 24. Larsen E. 2. Ree K.	25. Korneiciks D. (G) 14. Bjordal O. 4. Blikstad E. 22. Brandal D. 23. Gjerde F. 24. Juberg-Hovland L. 8. Kallevag T. (C) 9. Myrlid E. 19. Seferi U. 10. Skotheim I. 6. Urnes H.
Substitutes
18. Dirdal B. 3. Johansen A. 12. Johansson D. (G) 22. Kjorsvik E. 10. Pedersen P. 9. Syversen O.	30. Hansen C. 7. Hjelmeseth R. 26. Johansen I. 20. Konstali J. 27. Televik A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Myrlid E. ⚽,
22', Gjertson N. ↓, Johansen A. ↑,
42', 1 - 1, Berge H. ⚽,
43', Johansen A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
69', Urnes H. ↓, Hjelmeseth R. ↑,
74', Falck F. 🟨,
76', Juberg-Hovland L. ↓, Televik A. ↑,
87', Brandal D. ↓, Konstali J. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen).

Hødd is Confirmed as championsnQualified for OBOS~ligaen

Sotra in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Hødd is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sotra won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sotra SK
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
06.10.24	Ørn-Horten - Sotra	0:1 ✺
28.09.24	Sotra - Kvik Halden	3:0 ✺
21.09.24	Notodden - Sotra	0:0 ✺
14.09.24	Sotra - Vard Haugesund	4:0 ✺
08.09.24	Arendal - Sotra	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WWTWW
- IL Hødd
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
06.10.24	Hødd - Jerv	1:0 ✺
30.09.24	Brann 2 - Hødd	0:0 ✺
22.09.24	Kvik Halden - Hødd	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Hødd - Notodden	1:0 ✺
08.09.24	Vard Haugesund - Hødd	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
23.06.24	Hødd - Sotra	1:0

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