Match Info

Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 23

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Haugesund Stadion (Haugesund)


	Vard Haugesund		Pors

	1	X	2
	1.63	4	3.9
	1.62	4.05	4.25
	1.6	4.3	4.83
	1.68	3.04	6.65	Watch
	1.64	3.94	4.31
	1.62	4	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.67)	3.89 ↓ (4.1)	4.69 ↑ (3.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vard Haugesund
56.6%

Draw
23.7%

Pors
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

22.3%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

17.5%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vard Haugesund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Pors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vard Haugesund than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vard Haugesund that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pors than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vard Haugesund - Pors Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Strand S. (G) 9. Alvsaker M. 17. Apeland K. 6. Banda P. 11. Dvergsdal T. 19. Eide A. 3. Helgesen S. 7. Jensen S. 26. Karamoko B. 10. Lille-Lovo S. 2. Lonning A.	1. Hagen P. (G) 8. Bakeng-Rogne A. 6. Dahlby J. 5. Garstad T. 17. Gisa E. 9. Johnsen O. 7. Meen T. 10. Mladenovic S. 3. Ostby S. 15. Pllana R. 4. Svarteberg K.
Substitutes
14. Brakedal S. 22. Brandeggen B. 23. Eikje M. 24. Fauskanger-Olsson L. 18. Hauge A. 5. Helgesen T. 21. Jensen J.	16. Evensen B. 23. Giske A. 26. Henriksrud O. 20. Kachi 18. Namlos V. 19. Skifjeld S. 24. Vassend S. E. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Mladenovic S. ⚽,
11', 1 - 1, Dvergsdal T. ⚽,
33', Apeland K. ↓, Helgesen T. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Lille-Lovo S. 🟨,
59', Lille-Lovo S. ↓, Brandeggen B. ↑,
59', Jensen S. ↓, Eikje M. ↑,
77', Mladenovic S. ↓, Henriksrud O. ↑,
85', Meen T. ↓, Kachi ↑,
85', Bakeng-Rogne A. ↓, Giske A. ↑,
88', Gisa E. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Vard Haugesund has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pors has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Vard Haugesund is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vard Haugesund won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vard Haugesund
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
27.09.25	Sandnes Ulf - Vard Haugesund	4:0 ✺
21.09.25	Vard Haugesund - Eik-Tønsberg	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Arendal - Vard Haugesund	0:0 ✺
06.09.25	Vard Haugesund - Sandviken	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Lysekloster - Vard Haugesund	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWTTL
- Pors Fotball
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
28.09.25	Pors - Jerv	2:2 ✺
20.09.25	Sotra - Pors	5:0 ✺
13.09.25	Sandviken - Pors	5:2 ✺
06.09.25	Pors - Eik-Tønsberg	0:2 ✺
30.08.25	Arendal - Pors	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
10.05.25	Pors - Vard Haugesund	1:2

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