Match Info

BRAZIL: Paraibano - Round 7

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Antonio Mariz (Sousa)


	Sousa		Nacional de Patos

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.2	7
	1.32	4.2	8.75
	1.33	4.2	9.2
	1.3	3.87	13.89
	1.32	4.09	11.65
	1.26	4.75	10.7
	1.31	4.3	9.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.33)	4.23 ↓ (4.44)	10.08 ↑ (7.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sousa
69.5%

Draw
21.5%

Nacional de Patos
9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

20.4%

11.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.9%

19.3%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sousa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Nacional de Patos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sousa than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional de Patos than the current prediction. (+2%)

Sousa - Nacional de Patos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bruno Fuso (C)
9. Diego Ceara
8. Diego Viana
7. Elielton
16. Felipe Jacare
5. Hebert
11. Ian Augusto
2. Iranilson
26. Jackson
4. Marcelo
3. Uesles
Substitutes
10. Dhonata
18. Estevan
6. Fernando Ceara
30. Gabriel Souza (G)
13. Gustavinho
34. Gustavo Silva
21. Joao Rafael
20. Jonathan Balotelli
17. Kiko
19. Matheusinho
15. Patrik
23. Wellisson

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Ian Augusto ⚽,
29', 2 - 0, Diego Ceara ⚽,
31', 3 - 0, Diego Ceara ⚽,
41', Daniel Alagoano 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ian Augusto ↓, Kiko ↑,
46', Iranilson ↓, Wellisson ↑,
46', Beckham ↓, Gabriel Rocha ↑,
46', Jones Carioca ↓, Yuri ↑,
67', Caique ↓, David Goiana ↑,
67', Itallo Melo ↓, Chinha ↑,
69', Diego Ceara ↓, Jonathan Balotelli ↑,
78', 🟨,
82', Jackson ↓, Gustavinho ↑,
82', Elielton ↓, Fernando Ceara ↑,
84', Yuri 🟨,
84', Daniel Alagoano ↓, Danilo Antonio ↑,
90+1', Fernando Ceara 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Weber State won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Weber State won 12 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 1384:1285 (average 69.2:64.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Weber State won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 656:590 (average 72.9:65.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sousa
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
04.02.25	Vitória Salvador - Sousa	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
01.02.25	Sousa - Pombal	1:0 ✺
29.01.25	Sousa - Campinense	2:0 ✺
26.01.25	Auto Esporte - Sousa	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
23.01.25	Sousa - Altos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWTW
- Nacional de Patos
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
01.02.25	Campinense - Nacional de Patos	2:1 ✺
26.01.25	Esporte de Patos - Nacional de Patos	2:2 ✺
22.01.25	Nacional de Patos - Picuiense	2:2 ✺
15.01.25	Nacional de Patos - Pombal	2:1 ✺
12.01.25	Botafogo PB - Nacional de Patos	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
21.01.24	Nacional de Patos - Sousa	1:0
Brazilian Serie D
09.07.23	Sousa - Nacional de Patos	1:0
21.05.23	Nacional de Patos - Sousa	1:0
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
05.02.23	Nacional de Patos - Sousa	0:1
23.05.21	Sousa - Nacional de Patos	1:0

Sousa - Nacional de Patos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide