Match Info

Paraibano - Round 1

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Nacional de Patos		Pombal

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3.1
	2	3.25	3.25
	1.21	5.73	12.01	Watch
	2	3	3.4
	2.09	3.55	3.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2)	3.79 ↑ (3.4)	5 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional de Patos
53.7%

Draw
26.4%

Pombal
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

26.3%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional de Patos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nacional de Patos's performance.

Pombal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pombal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Nacional de Patos - Pombal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Gustavo (G) 7. De Araujo F. 2. Fabricio Recife 10. Felipe Araujo 3. Gabriel Alves 5. Guto 9. Pingo 8. Renezinho 11. Rogerio 6. Tadeu 4. Tulio	1. Jailson (G) 13. Bala D. 11. Christian 9. Everton 5. Fabrizio 7. Italo 8. Kiko 10. Lazaro 4. Marlon 3. Nattan 12. Victor

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Renezinho (Penalty Awarded),
36', Bala D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 2 - 0, Rogerio ⚽,
52', Kiko 🟨,
55', Rogerio 🟨,
66', 3 - 0, Pingo ⚽,
68', Italo ↓, Cleiton ↑,
76', Rogerio ↓, Abner ↑,
86', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

Nacional de Patos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Nacional de Patos is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nacional de Patos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Nacional de Patos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional de Patos
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
22.02.25	Nacional de Patos - Treze	1:4 ✺
16.02.25	Nacional de Patos - Auto Esporte	3:1 ✺
13.02.25	Serra Branca - Nacional de Patos	2:2 ✺
08.02.25	Sousa - Nacional de Patos	3:0 ✺
01.02.25	Campinense - Nacional de Patos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWTLL
- Pombal EC
Club Friendly
10.01.26	Pombal - Sousa	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
22.02.25	Campinense - Pombal	1:1 ✺
13.02.25	Pombal - Auto Esporte	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Pombal - Treze	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Sousa - Pombal	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
15.01.25	Nacional de Patos - Pombal	2:1
10.03.24	Nacional de Patos - Pombal	0:1

Nacional de Patos - Pombal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide