Match Info

Asian Games - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 30 September 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Yanmar Stadium Nagai (Osaka) 🌤️ ...


	South Korea U23		China U23

	1	X	2
	1.29	4.20	13.00
	1.27	4.75	9.50
	1.20	5.30	11.00
	1.28	5.09	11.98
	1.24	5.3	12.5	Watch
	1.25	4.90	11.00
	1.31	4.29	13.30
	1.27	4.50	9.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 (1.26)	4.79 ↑ (4.6)	11.51 ↓ (12.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

South Korea U23
72.8%

Draw
19.2%

China U23
8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

72.7%

19.9%

7.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Korea U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

China U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

South Korea U23 - China U23 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. South Korea U23 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kim J. (G) Suwon Bluewings 22. Bae Hyun-Seo Gyeongnam 10. Bae Jun-Ho Stoke City 16. Choi Seok-Hyun Ulsan Hyundai 7. Eom Ji-Sung (C) Swansea 15. Hwang Do-Yun Seoul 5. Kim Ji-Soo Brentford 14. Lee Hyun-ju Arouca 8. Lee Seung-Won Gangwon 9. Lee Young-Jun Grasshoppers 23. Shin Min-Ha Gangwon	16. Li H. (G) Qingdao West Coast 2. Hu H. Chengdu Rongcheng 3. Liu Haofan Zhejiang Professional 22. Mao W. Dalian Yingbo 21. Peng Xiao Shandong Taishan 10. Wang Y. Zhejiang Professional 15. Wu Xi (C) Shanghai Shenhua 6. Xu Bin Wolves 23. Yang A. Shanghai Port 9. Zhang Yuning Beijing Guoan 5. Zhu Chenjie Shanghai Shenhua
Substitutes
3. Choi Woo-Jin Jeonbuk 2. Kang Min-Jun Pohang 13. Kang Sang-Yoon Jeonbuk 18. Kim M. Genk 12. Kim Min-seung (G) Paju Frontier 6. Lee Gi-Hyuk Gangwon 21. Lee Seung-Hwan (G) Cheongju 20. Park Kyung-sub Incheon 4. Park Seong-hun Seoul 19. Park Seung-soo Newcastle Utd 11. Yang Hyun-Jun Celtic 17. Yang Min-Hyuk Westerlo	19. Abduweli Behram Chengdu Rongcheng 18. Chen Zeshi Shandong Taishan 17. He Yiran Chengdu Rongcheng 11. Kuai Jiwen Shanghai Port 8. Li X. Shanghai Port 14. Maimaiti Y. 4. Shi Songchen Shandong Taishan 7. Xiang Yuwang Chongqing Tonglianglong 20. Yang Haoyu Shanghai Shenhua 12. Yao Haoyang (G) Chongqing Tonglianglong 13. Yimingkari M. Chengdu Rongcheng 1. Yu Jinyong (G) Shandong Taishan

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', Xu Bin 🟨,
23', 0 - 1, Wang Y. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, Lee Young-Jun ⚽, Eom Ji-Sung (A),
42', Bae Jun-Ho 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
69', Mao W. ↓, Yimingkari M. ↑,
82', 2 - 1, Bae Jun-Ho ⚽, Eom Ji-Sung (A),
83', Xu Bin ↓, Maimaiti Y. ↑,
86', Hu H. ↓, Abduweli Behram ↑,
89', Lee Young-Jun ↓, Park Kyung-sub ↑,
90+2', Bae Jun-Ho ↓, Kim M. ↑,

Preview

South Korea U23 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

South Korea U23 holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, South Korea U23 has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 8:2 (averaging 1.6:0.4 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Korea U23
Asian Games Football
25.09.26	South Korea U23 - Vietnam U23	4:0 ✺
22.09.26	South Korea U23 - Saudi Arabia U23	2:0 ✺
15.09.26	Qatar U23 - South Korea U23	1:4 ✺
Friendly
06.06.26	Thailand U23 - South Korea U23	2:3 ✺
AFC Asian Cup U23
23.01.26	Vietnam U23 - South Korea U23	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWWL
- China U23
Asian Games Football
26.09.26	China U23 - Thailand U23	3:0 ✺
23.09.26	China U23 - United Arab Emirates U23	0:0 ✺
20.09.26	Iran U23 - China U23	0:0 ✺
16.09.26	China U23 - North Korea U23	2:1 ✺
Friendly
09.06.26	China U23 - Tajikistan U23	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Asian Cup U23
19.04.24	China U23 - South Korea U23	0:2
Asian Games Football
01.10.23	China U23 - South Korea U23	0:2
Friendly
19.06.23	China U23 - South Korea U23	1:0
15.06.23	China U23 - South Korea U23	1:3
AFC Asian Cup U23
09.01.20	South Korea U23 - China U23	1:0

South Korea U23 - China U23