Match Info

OFC Pro League - Play Offs - Final

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday


	South Melbourne		Auckland FC 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.67	3.75	4.47
	1.72	3.5	4.52	Watch
	1.62	3.9	4
	1.82	3.8	3.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.81)	3.74 ↓ (3.88)	4.16 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

South Melbourne
53.5%

Draw
24.5%

Auckland FC 2
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

23.7%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

23.9%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Melbourne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Auckland FC 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Melbourne than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auckland FC 2 than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

South Melbourne - Auckland FC 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. South Melbourne will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Normann D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
72', 0 - 2, Ellis M. ⚽,
90+7', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

South Melbourne has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Auckland 2 is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Auckland 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

South Melbourne might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, South Melbourne won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, South Melbourne won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Melbourne FC
OFC Pro League
19.05.26	South Melbourne - Vanuatu United	4:0 ✺
Australian NPL Victoria
18.05.26	South Melbourne - Caroline Springs George Cross	0:4 ✺
OFC Pro League
11.05.26	South Melbourne - Bula	4:2 ✺
09.05.26	South Melbourne - South Island United	4:2 ✺
Australian NPL Victoria
08.05.26	Heidelberg United - South Melbourne	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWWL
- Auckland FC 2
OFC Pro League
20.05.26	Auckland FC 2 - South Island United	1:0 ✺
12.05.26	Auckland FC 2 - South Island United	5:2 ✺
08.05.26	Auckland FC 2 - Bula	2:0 ✺
06.05.26	Auckland FC 2 - South Melbourne	1:2 ✺
20.04.26	South Island United - Auckland FC 2	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

OFC Pro League
06.05.26	Auckland FC 2 - South Melbourne	1:2
11.04.26	Auckland FC 2 - South Melbourne	3:2
21.02.26	South Melbourne - Auckland FC 2	1:1

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