Match Info

National League North - Round 2

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Mariners Park (Jarrow)


	South Shields		Chorley

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.1	5.25
	1.49	4.10	5.00
	1.46	4.25	5.5
	1.5	4.45	6.29
	1.48	4.43	5.89	Watch
	1.48	4.4	5.75
	1.54	4.25	5.45
	1.46	4.3	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.63)	4.29 ↑ (3.92)	5.57 ↑ (4.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

South Shields
62%

Draw
21.5%

Chorley
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

23.6%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Shields has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in South Shields's performance.

Chorley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

South Shields - Chorley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Hazelhurst J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
76', 1 - 1, Campbell A. ⚽,
86', 2 - 1, Blackett P. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South Shields won 2.

In this match, South Shields is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, South Shields won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, South Shields won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 2.8:1.3).

Outrights of English National League North for now

South Shields: 19.04% Chorley: 1.1%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	South Shields	10	6	2	2	15:13	2	20
12	Chorley	10	4	2	4	16:17	-1	14

Last Results with these Odds

South Shields - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 56.87%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Shields FC
Club Friendly
28.07.26	Gateshead - South Shields	1:4 ✺
21.07.26	South Shields - Harrogate Town	1:2 ✺
English National League North
09.05.26	South Shields - Kidderminster Harriers	0:2 ✺
02.05.26	South Shields - Buxton	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Kidderminster Harriers - South Shields	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLLWL
- Chorley
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Chorley - Accrington Stanley	0:3 ✺
21.07.26	Chorley - Altrincham	0:0 ✺
English National League North
25.04.26	Chorley - Worksop Town	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	King`s Lynn Town - Chorley	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Chorley - Curzon Ashton	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
10.03.26	Chorley - South Shields	1:1
04.10.25	South Shields - Chorley	2:0
English FA Cup
27.09.25	South Shields - Chorley	4:1
English National League North
15.02.25	Chorley - South Shields	2:1
21.09.24	South Shields - Chorley	3:3
12.03.24	South Shields - Chorley	2:1
24.10.23	Chorley - South Shields	2:1

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