Match Info
National League North - Round 44Date: 11 April 2026, SaturdayLocation: Victory Park (Chorley)
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Chorley |
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Curzon Ashton |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.62 |
3.75 |
4.33 |
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1.65 |
3.95 |
4.15 |
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1.71 |
4.49 |
4.15 |
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1.69 |
4.47 |
3.95 |
 Watch |
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1.67 |
4 |
4 |
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1.63 |
4.1 |
4.15 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↓
(1.73) |
4.13 ↑
(3.67) |
4.12 ↑
(4.11) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
- The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Chorley
55.4% | Draw
22.3% | Curzon Ashton
22.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chorley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Curzon Ashton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (-12%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chorley that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Curzon Ashton than the current prediction. (+4.7%)Chorley - Curzon Ashton Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 37', 0 - 1, Barton A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 20).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chorley won 2.Both teams are struggling and far from their best.Curzon Ashton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Chorley has had a series of away games. In this match, Chorley is a strong favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chorley won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:26. (average 1.4:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Chorley won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 1.8:1.1).
Outrights of English National League North for now
Chorley: 1.12%
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 12 | Chorley | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 14 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Chorley - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 52.84%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.
Curzon Ashton - the odds 4.11 are the expected chance of winning is 22.22%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
