The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Southampton 20.1%
Draw 24.6%
Crystal Palace 55.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
22.6%
23.9%
53.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.4%
23.7%
54%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Crystal Palace has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Southampton - Crystal Palace Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Santos A. (G) 3. Mott M. 23. Collett M. 15. Murphy N. 5. Goddard A. 18. Jupp F. 4. Bashford M. 8. Peplow C. 27. Rae S. 7. Brazil E. 9. Harries E. (C)
30. Yanez S. (G) 12. Cosme C. 3. Napier J. 15. Nolan H. 24. Hopcroft S. 8. Sharpe M. 16. Ladd H. (C) 17. Blanchard A. 11. Weerden A. 10. Howat K. 27. OโBrien S.
Substitutes
28. Archibald J. 2. Brown R. 12. Edwards M. 17. McInnes L. 1. Moloney G. (G) 26. Tucker R.
32. Bartrip M. 4. Enge S. 9. England B. 56. Erhabor C. (G) 6. Everett A. 19. Larkin A. 29. Swaby A. 25. Tsunoda F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Blanchard A. ⚽, OโBrien S. (A),
17', 1 - 1, Jupp F. ⚽, Harries E. (A),
19', 1 - 2, Blanchard A. ⚽,
39', 2 - 2, Brazil E. ⚽,
45+2', 3 - 2, Collett M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ladd H. ↓, Enge S. ↑,
46', OโBrien S. ↓, England B. ↑,
46', Blanchard A. ↓, Larkin A. ↑,
46', Bashford M. ↓, Tucker R. ↑,
46', Harries E. ↓, Archibald J. ↑,
46', Peplow C. ↓, McInnes L. ↑,
64', Napier J. ↓, Swaby A. ↑,
64', Cosme C. ↓, Bartrip M. ↑,
65', Bashford M. ↓, Edwards M. ↑,
75', Collett M. ↓, Brown R. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Southampton won 3.
Southampton is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Crystal Palace have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Recently, Southampton has faced a series of away games on the road.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Crystal Palace holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Southampton has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:15 (averaging 2.3:2.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Southampton against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 6:7 goals (averaging 1.5:1.8 per game).
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Santos A. (G) 
Mott M. 
Murphy N. 
Yanez S. (G) 
Nolan H. 
Ladd H. (C) 
Weerden A. 
Erhabor C. (G) 
Swaby A. 
Tsunoda F. 
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