The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Southampton 24.6%
Draw 25.4%
Crystal Palace 50%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29%
26.2%
44.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29%
26.2%
44.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
Crystal Palace has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crystal Palace's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crystal Palace, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Southampton - Crystal Palace Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Stenson F. (G) 23. Collett M. 5. Goddard A. 6. Bourne T. 19. Simpson J. 14. Bashford M. 66. Palmer A. 7. Brazil E. 8. Peplow C. 10. McAlonie M. 20. Primus A. (C)
30. Yanez S. (G) 4. Arthur C. 6. Everett A. (C) 15. Nolan H. 8. Sharpe M. 16. Ladd H. 5. Cato M. 11. Weerden A. 17. Blanchard A. 9. Hughes E. 27. Larkin A.
Substitutes
2. Brown R. 12. Edwards M. 17. McGowan T. 3. Mott M. 30. Pettit E. (G) 35. Roberts E. 26. Tucker R. 15. Wade E. 27. Watts I.
1. Annets E. (G) 19. Brady K. 12. Brown L. 10. Howat K. 25. Newell L. 20. Riley I. 18. Vanhaevermaet J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Brazil E. ⚽, McAlonie M. (A),
23', 2 - 0, Brazil E. ⚽, McAlonie M. (A),
35', Brazil E. 🟨,
45', 2 - 1, Weerden A. ⚽, Hughes E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Arthur C. ↓, Riley I. ↑,
57', Palmer A. 🟨,
65', Palmer A. ↓, McGowan T. ↑,
68', McGowan T. 🟨,
79', Hughes E. ↓, Howat K. ↑,
85', Blanchard A. ↓, Brown L. ↑,
85', McAlonie M. ↓, Mott M. ↑,
89', Primus A. 🟨,
90+1', 3 - 1, Brazil E. ⚽, McGowan T. (A),
90+3', Sharpe M. 🟨,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 4).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Southampton won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Southampton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Crystal Palace could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Southampton won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 2.2:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Southampton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
United-kingdom
Watch
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Stenson F. (G) 
McAlonie M. 
Primus A. (C) 
Yanez S. (G) 
Nolan H. 
Ladd H. 
Cato M. 
Weerden A. 
Riley I. 
Vanhaevermaet J. 
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