The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aston Villa 52.7%
Draw 23.4%
Crystal Palace 24%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.8%
23.4%
18.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.4%
23.7%
18.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aston Villa's form might have worsened.
Crystal Palace has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crystal Palace's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aston Villa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crystal Palace, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Aston Villa - Crystal Palace Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Okuma A. (G) 4. Patten A. (C) 3. Harviken M. 24. Deslandes O. 14. Wilms L. 5. Kielland J. 25. Taylor M. 16. Maritz N. 17. Grant C. 21. Kendall L. 20. Vangsgaard A.
26. Peyraud-Magnin P. (G) 29. Swaby A. 6. Everett A. (C) 22. Goldie T. 32. Bartrip M. 24. Hopcroft S. 25. Tsunoda F. 7. Lloyd-Smith L. 17. Blanchard A. 19. Larkin A. 9. England B.
Substitutes
13. Hijikata M. 40. Kelly S. (G) 38. Maltby R. 27. McAulay M. 18. Mullet G. 19. Murphy L. 1. Ramsey E. (G) 33. Scott K.
12. Cosme C. 4. Enge S. 10. Howat K. 3. Napier J. 15. Nolan H. 27. O’Brien S. 8. Sharpe M. 11. Weerden A. 30. Yanez S. (G)
Coaches
Sorensen B.
Potter J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Lloyd-Smith L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 1 - 0, Maritz N. ⚽, Grant C. (A),
63', Kielland J. ↓, Hijikata M. ↑,
70', Blanchard A. ↓, O’Brien S. ↑,
70', Hopcroft S. ↓, Enge S. ↑,
70', Goldie T. ↓, Sharpe M. ↑,
73', Grant C. ↓, Mullet G. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Larkin A. ⚽,
81', Vangsgaard A. ↓, Murphy L. ↑,
81', Maritz N. ↓, Maltby R. ↑,
90', England B. ↓, Howat K. ↑,
Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 13th in the WSL (Relegation) and 9th).
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Bookmakers give the edge to Aston Villa for this game.
Confirmed absences for Aston Villa: Baijings J.
(Knee Injury)
Daly R.
(Inactive)
Jean-Francois O.
(Inactive)
Melgard K.
(Inactive)
Roebuck E.
(Shoulder Injury).
Confirmed absences for Crystal Palace: Cato M.
(Knee Injury)
Green J.
(Maternity leave)
Ladd H.
(Inactive)
Vanhaevermaet J.
(Maternity leave).
Doubtful / questionable for Aston Villa: Imuran R.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Kearns M.
(Ankle Injury)
Parker L.
(Ankle Injury).
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Aston Villa has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 9:6 (averaging 1.8:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Aston Villa against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 5:2 goals (averaging 1.7:0.7 per game).
Australia
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Germany
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Okuma A. (G) 
Patten A. (C) 
Harviken M. 
Deslandes O. 
Wilms L. 
Taylor M. 
Maritz N. 
Kendall L. 
Vangsgaard A. 
Swaby A. 
Kelly S. (G) 
Cosme C. 
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