The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hong Kong Rangers 29.5%
Draw 25.5%
Southern District 45%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.6%
26.6%
39.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.3%
25.6%
41.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hong Kong Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
Southern District has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Southern District's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hong Kong Rangers than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southern District than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Hong Kong Rangers - Southern District Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Chan K. (G) 45. Ansah M. 29. Cortes M. 3. Kim Min-Kyu 27. Lam Lok-Yin J. 7. Lau Chi-Lok (C) 4. Leung W. F. 35. Panigazzi M. 37. Tsang C. 16. Wegener M. 14. Yakubu Nassam I.
1. Ng W. H. (G) 2. Chan Y. T. 28. Chen Ngo-Hin 5. Danilo Santos 19. Ichikawa S. 4. Kawase K. 12. Lai K. 79. Lucas Emmanuel 11. Sasaki S. (C) 14. Song J. 7. Stefan
Substitutes
99. Cheng Tsz-Sum 22. Chen H. 30. Chow W. 79. Chow Y. I. 44. Fung Kwun-Ming 67. Lau Y. 18. Lau Y. A. 32. Li W. H. 11. Ma Y. 31. Wong Y. (G) 51. Yang B. 70. Yip Ka-Yu (G)
16. Chak Ting-Fung 26. Chan H. P. 13. Chan K. (G) 27. Chong T. A. 18. Mahama A. 22. Marcus Vinicius 31. Ngan N. S. (G) 20. Yau C. 38. Yehudayan G. 23. Yung H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Yakubu Nassam I. ⚽,
37', Lucas Emmanuel 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', Chan Y. T. 🟨,
59', 1 - 1, Lucas Emmanuel ⚽,
62', Chen Ngo-Hin ↓, Chan H. P. ↑,
63', Lau Chi-Lok ↓, Chen H. ↑,
63', Tsang C. ↓, Cheng Tsz-Sum ↑,
73', Lucas Emmanuel ↓, Marcus Vinicius ↑,
76', 2 - 1, Panigazzi M. ⚽,
78', Lai K. ↓, Chak Ting-Fung ↑,
78', Ichikawa S. ↓, Mahama A. ↑,
82', Lam Lok-Yin J. ↓, Lau Y. ↑,
85', Marcus Vinicius 🟨,
90+6', 3 - 1, Yakubu Nassam I. ⚽,
90+6', Cortes M. ↓, Yang B. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hong Kong Rangers won 3.
Hong Kong Rangers is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Southern District has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hong Kong Rangers won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:31. (average 1.2:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Hong Kong Rangers won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.8:1.3).
Hong-kong
Watch
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Chan K. (G) 
Ansah M. 
Cortes M. 
Kim Min-Kyu 
Panigazzi M. 
Danilo Santos 
Kawase K. 
Chen H. 
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