Match Info

Premier League - Round 12

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Tseung Kwan O Sports Ground (Hongkong)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hong-kong	on.cc


	Eastern AA		Southern District

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.05	2.88
	2.38	3.06	2.9
	2.25	2.9	3
	2.37	2.93	2.97	Watch
	2.42	3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.74)	2.99 ↓ (3.29)	2.93 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eastern AA
38.7%

Draw
30.3%

Southern District
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

27.5%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eastern AA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Eastern AA's performance.

Southern District has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Southern District might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Eastern AA - Southern District Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Ko C. W. (G) 37. Chang Kwong-Yin 27. Gondra M. K. 2. Hall C. 32. Lam H. 15. Lau Kwan Ching 16. Leung C. (C) 22. Leung Kwun-Chung 5. Lorenz M. 9. Okubo Y. 65. Wong Fred Yang	1. Ng W. H. (G) 10. Acosta J. L. 2. Chan Y. T. 19. Ichikawa S. 4. Kawase K. 8. Lee Ka-Yiu 22. Marcus Vinicius 80. Murilo 11. Sasaki S. (C) 6. Shin Il-Soo 7. Stefan
Substitutes
21. Almazan D. 10. Bleda M. 8. Carreon J. 88. Cheung M. H. 43. Contiero U. 11. Felipe Sa 33. Gao M. H. 26. Liu F. (G) 42. Yeung T. 19. Yiu Ho-Ming	16. Chak Ting-Fung 26. Chan H. P. 13. Chan K. (G) 28. Chen Ngo-Hin 27. Chong T. A. 12. Lai K. 79. Lucas Emmanuel 18. Mahama A. 31. Ngan N. S. (G) 20. Yau C. 23. Yung H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Wong Fred Yang 🟨,
29', 0 - 1, Stefan ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', Murilo 🟨,
56', Leung Kwun-Chung ↓, Felipe Sa ↑,
56', Leung C. ↓, Almazan D. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Lam H. ⚽,
60', Lee Ka-Yiu ↓, Chak Ting-Fung ↑,
63', Kawase K. 🟨,
63', Chang Kwong-Yin ↓, Bleda M. ↑,
65', Ichikawa S. ↓, Lai K. ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Gondra M. K. ⚽,
71', Chak Ting-Fung 🟨,
73', Sasaki S. 🟨,
75', 3 - 1, Gondra M. K. ⚽,
75', Gondra M. K. ↓, Carreon J. ↑,
76', Wong Fred Yang ↓, Contiero U. ↑,
78', Kawase K. ↓, Lucas Emmanuel ↑,
78', Stefan ↓, Chen Ngo-Hin ↑,
84', Hall C. 🟨,
87', Marcus Vinicius 🟨,
90+4', Lau Kwan Ching 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 and 6)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eastern AA won 3.

Southern District has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Eastern AA won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:16. (average 1.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Eastern AA won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.3:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Southern District	3	2	0	1	6:6	0	6
7	Eastern AA	4	1	0	3	6:8	-2	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eastern AA
Hong Kong Premier League
14.12.25	Eastern AA - Wofoo Tai Po	2:1 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
11.12.25	Nam Định - Eastern AA	9:0 ✺
Hong Kong Premier League
07.12.25	Kowloon City - Eastern AA	2:1 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
27.11.25	Eastern AA - Gamba Osaka	0:5 ✺
Hong Kong Premier League
09.11.25	Hong Kong FC - Eastern AA	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLLLW
- Southern District
Hong Kong FA Cup
21.12.25	Southern District - North District	1:3 ✺
Hong Kong Premier League
13.12.25	Eastern District - Southern District	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	Lee Man - Southern District	1:0 ✺
26.11.25	Southern District - Kitchee	2:4 ✺
22.11.25	Southern District - Kowloon City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Hong Kong Premier League
21.09.25	Southern District - Eastern AA	1:1
Hong Kong Sapling Cup
09.04.25	Southern District - Eastern AA	1:0
Hong Kong Premier League
05.03.25	Eastern AA - Southern District	2:1
08.02.25	Eastern AA - Southern District	2:0
Hong Kong Senior Shield
23.11.24	Eastern AA - Southern District	1:0
Hong Kong Premier League
28.09.24	Southern District - Eastern AA	0:2
10.03.24	Eastern AA - Southern District	2:1

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