The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Eastern AA 45.5%
Draw 25%
Southern District 29.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53.1%
23.1%
23.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.2%
22.2%
22.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Eastern AA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eastern AA's form might have worsened.
Southern District has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Southern District's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastern AA than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eastern AA, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southern District than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Southern District, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Eastern AA - Southern District Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Ko C. W. (G) 20. Alonso C. 5. Cova A. 11. Felipe Sa 27. Gondra M. K. (C) 32. Lam H. 15. Lau Kwan Ching 23. Lee Lok-Him 9. Okubo Y. 4. Parada Gil A. 65. Wong Fred Yang
1. Ng W. H. (G) 16. Chak Ting-Fung 3. Fabio Erins 2. Hall C. 18. Inoue T. 4. Kawase K. 27. Kayron 12. Lai K. 9. Poon Pui-Hin 11. Sasaki S. (C) 10. Wong Ho-Chun Anson
Substitutes
88. Cheung M. H. 43. Contiero U. 66. Gao M. 33. Gao M. H. 6. Law Chun-Ting 16. Leung C. 14. Loong T. 19. Lorenzo N. 7. Naveed 28. Siu C. 1. Yapp H. (G) 26. Yuen Ho-Chun (G)
99. Cheng Tsz-Sum 24. Cheung P. 19. Chong T. A. 77. Hon Shing-Wing 32. Hui P. A. (G) 63. Landa B. 14. Lee C. 8. Lee Ka-Yiu 31. Ngan N. S. (G) 7. Stefan
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Gondra M. K. ⚽,
20', 2 - 0, Gondra M. K. ⚽,
26', Wong Ho-Chun Anson 🟨,
27', 3 - 0, Cova A. ⚽,
40', Kawase K. ↓, Landa B. ↑,
43', Cova A. 🟨,
45+1', 3 - 1, Wong Ho-Chun Anson ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Lai K. ↓, Lee C. ↑,
52', Poon Pui-Hin ↓, Stefan ↑,
57', 3 - 2, Stefan ⚽,
60', 4 - 2, Felipe Sa ⚽,
62', Wong Fred Yang 🟨,
65', Lee Lok-Him ↓, Naveed ↑,
65', Wong Fred Yang ↓, Law Chun-Ting ↑,
71', Lee C. 🟨,
80', 4 - 3, Landa B. ⚽,
83', Law Chun-Ting 🟨,
84', Lam H. ↓, Leung C. ↑,
86', Wong Ho-Chun Anson ↓, Lee Ka-Yiu ↑,
86', Fabio Erins ↓, Cheng Tsz-Sum ↑,
87', 5 - 3, Gondra M. K. ⚽,
88', Felipe Sa ↓, Lorenzo N. ↑,
89', Chak Ting-Fung 🟨,
90+1', Hall C. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eastern AA won 3.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Southern District may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, Eastern AA is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Eastern AA has recorded 12 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:17 (averaging 1.5:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Eastern AA against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 17:13 goals (averaging 1.4:1.1 per game).
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Ko C. W. (G) 
Alonso C. 
Cova A. 
Felipe Sa 
Okubo Y. 
Hall C. 
Lorenzo N. 
Landa B. 
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