Match Info

Premier League - Round 10

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Tseung Kwan O Sports Ground (Hongkong)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hong-kong	on.cc


	Lee Man		Southern District

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.75	5.9
	1.35	5.05	7.29
	1.44	4.41	5.85	Watch
	1.36	4.6	6.5
	1.44	4.88	5.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.44)	4.74 ↑ (4.51)	6.29 ↑ (5.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lee Man
66%

Draw
19.4%

Southern District
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

20.3%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lee Man has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Southern District has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Lee Man - Southern District Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lee Man (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Chan K. (G) 8. Camargo E. 5. Dudu 77. Gigauri M. 21. Goddard C. 17. Mikael 4. Tachibana R. 44. Tursunov D. 10. Wong W. (C) 6. Wu C. R. 55. Yu Wai-Lim	31. Ngan N. S. (G) 10. Acosta J. L. 16. Chak Ting-Fung 2. Chan Y. T. 19. Ichikawa S. 4. Kawase K. 22. Marcus Vinicius 80. Murilo 11. Sasaki S. (C) 6. Shin Il-Soo 7. Stefan
Substitutes
7. Baffoe N. 18. Braunshtain B. 11. Cheng S. K. 30. Hui C. 9. Lau K. 27. Lau Yu-Ho 1. Leung Hing-Kit (G) 16. Ngan Lok-Fung 99. Poon Pui-Hin 25. Poon S. (G)	13. Chan K. (G) 28. Chen Ngo-Hin 27. Chong T. A. 12. Lai K. 8. Lee Ka-Yiu 79. Lucas Emmanuel 18. Mahama A. 20. Yau C. 23. Yung H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Tursunov D. ⚽,
31', Stefan ↓, Lai K. ↑,
41', Chan Y. T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Goddard C. ↓, Lau K. ↑,
57', Wong W. 🟨,
57', Tursunov D. 🟨,
67', Acosta J. L. 🟨,
72', Wong W. ↓, Braunshtain B. ↑,
82', Murilo ↓, Lucas Emmanuel ↑,
82', Ichikawa S. ↓, Lee Ka-Yiu ↑,
84', Camargo E. ↓, Poon Pui-Hin ↑,
85', Mikael 🟨,
89', Chak Ting-Fung 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 4 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lee Man won 2.

In recent matches, Southern District has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Southern District may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Lee Man is the team to beat.

We predict that Lee Man will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Lee Man won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:22. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Lee Man won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lee Man FC
Hong Kong Premier League
23.11.25	Lee Man - North District	2:2 ✺
Hong Kong League Cup
16.11.25	North District - Lee Man	1:2 ET ✺
Hong Kong Premier League
01.11.25	Lee Man - Hong Kong FC	7:1 ✺
18.10.25	Lee Man - Eastern District	1:0 ✺
Hong Kong Senior Shield
27.09.25	Lee Man - Wofoo Tai Po	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TWWWL
- Southern District
Hong Kong Premier League
26.11.25	Southern District - Kitchee	2:4 ✺
22.11.25	Southern District - Kowloon City	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	North District - Southern District	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Southern District - Eastern District	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Hong Kong FC - Southern District	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Hong Kong Premier League
13.09.25	Southern District - Lee Man	0:3
Hong Kong Sapling Cup
01.05.25	Lee Man - Southern District	0:4
Hong Kong Premier League
05.04.25	Southern District - Lee Man	0:1
09.03.25	Lee Man - Southern District	1:1
Hong Kong Sapling Cup
17.11.24	Lee Man - Southern District	0:1
Hong Kong Premier League
31.08.24	Southern District - Lee Man	1:2
27.04.24	Southern District - Lee Man	0:1

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