Match Info

Date: 19 May 2021, Wednesday


	Sun Pegasus		Kitchee

	1	X	2
	4.5	4.5	1.45
	4.1	4	1.61
	4.72	4.26	1.62
	4.4	4	1.57
	4.6	4.25	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.46 ↓ (4.9)	4.2 ↓ (4.74)	1.57 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sun Pegasus
20.4%

Draw
21.6%

Kitchee
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.5%

19.1%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.2%

15.7%

76%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sun Pegasus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Kitchee has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sun Pegasus than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sun Pegasus that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kitchee than the current prediction. (+18%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kitchee could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sun Pegasus - Kitchee Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Recent matches Sun Pegasus is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kitchee is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Kitchee have a series of home games.

In this match Kitchee is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Sun Pegasus won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 8-34.

Including matches at home between the teams Sun Pegasus won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sun Pegasus
Hong Kong Premier League
15.05.21	Eastern AA - Sun Pegasus	4:0 ✺
11.05.21	Hong Kong Rangers - Sun Pegasus	0:2 ✺
06.05.21	Happy Valley - Sun Pegasus	1:3 ✺
24.04.21	Sun Pegasus - Eastern AA	0:1 ✺
18.04.21	Sun Pegasus - Resources Capital	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWLW
- Kitchee FC
Hong Kong Premier League
15.05.21	Kitchee - Lee Man	0:1 ✺
10.05.21	Kitchee - Southern District	4:1 ✺
07.05.21	Kitchee - Hong Kong Rangers	3:1 ✺
16.04.21	Happy Valley - Kitchee	1:3 ✺
11.04.21	Kitchee - Resources Capital	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Hong Kong Premier League
24.03.21	Sun Pegasus - Kitchee	1:2
04.03.21	Kitchee - Sun Pegasus	2:0
16.01.20	Sun Pegasus - Kitchee	0:3
30.12.19	Kitchee - Sun Pegasus	2:1
23.02.19	Sun Pegasus - Kitchee	0:3
30.11.18	Kitchee - Sun Pegasus	3:0
Hong Kong FA Cup
06.05.18	Kitchee - Sun Pegasus	4:1

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