Match Info

Date: 13 March 2020, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Southern United		Team Wellington

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.95	1.53
	4.19	4.23	1.53
	4.6	4.47	1.57
	4.45	4.55	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.34 ↓ (4.96)	4.3 ↑ (4.2)	1.55 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southern United
20.8%

Draw
21%

Team Wellington
58.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.3%

21.6%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.1%

17.9%

72.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southern United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Team Wellington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southern United than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Southern United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Team Wellington than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Team Wellington could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Southern United - Team Wellington Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southern United
New Zealand Premiership
28.02.20	Hawkes Bay United - Southern United	3:4 ✺
14.02.20	Southern United - Waitakere United	2:1 ✺
08.02.20	Hamilton Academical - Southern United	1:1 ✺
01.02.20	Eastern Suburbs - Southern United	6:0 ✺
24.01.20	Southern United - Canterbury United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWTLW
- Team Wellington
New Zealand Premiership
29.02.20	Team Wellington - Eastern Suburbs	4:1 ✺
22.02.20	Canterbury United - Team Wellington	1:2 ✺
08.02.20	Team Wellington - Tasman United	3:1 ✺
31.01.20	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Team Wellington	0:1 ✺
25.01.20	Team Wellington - Auckland City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand Premiership
14.12.19	Team Wellington - Southern United	6:1
26.01.19	Southern United - Team Wellington	0:0
10.11.18	Team Wellington - Southern United	3:1
10.02.18	Southern United - Team Wellington	1:3
16.12.17	Team Wellington - Southern United	0:0
18.02.17	Southern United - Team Wellington	1:3
03.12.16	Team Wellington - Southern United	4:1

Southern United - Team Wellington

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Southern United - Team Wellington Predictions

Form

Latest Head to Head

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