Match Info

Date: 16 January 2021, Saturday


	Wellington Phoenix 2		Waitakere United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3	3.8	1.95
	2.8	3.55	1.97
	3	3.7	1.9
	3.05	4.31	2.06
	3	3.8	2
	3.1	4.1	1.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.41)	3.88 ↑ (3.6)	1.97 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wellington Phoenix 2
30.4%

Draw
23.5%

Waitakere United
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

25.1%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

17.7%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wellington Phoenix 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wellington Phoenix 2's form might have worsened.

Waitakere United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Waitakere United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wellington Phoenix 2 than the current prediction. (+22.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wellington Phoenix 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waitakere United than the current prediction. (-19.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Waitakere United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Wellington Phoenix 2 - Waitakere United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 6 and 7).

Recent matches Wellington Phoenix Reserves is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Waitakere United is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Waitakere United could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Waitakere United will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Wellington Phoenix Reserves won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 19-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Wellington Phoenix Reserves won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-17.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wellington Phoenix 2
New Zealand Premiership
08.01.21	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Canterbury United	1:1 ✺
18.12.20	Auckland City - Wellington Phoenix 2	4:1 ✺
11.12.20	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Hawkes Bay United	3:0 ✺
05.12.20	Hamilton Academical - Wellington Phoenix 2	1:1 ✺
27.11.20	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Eastern Suburbs	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLWTL
- Waitakere United
New Zealand Premiership
09.01.21	Waitakere United - Auckland City	0:3 ✺
19.12.20	Hawkes Bay United - Waitakere United	2:0 ✺
11.12.20	Waitakere United - Hamilton Academical	1:1 ✺
05.12.20	Eastern Suburbs - Waitakere United	2:2 ✺
27.11.20	Waitakere United - Team Wellington	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand Premiership
20.11.20	Waitakere United - Wellington Phoenix 2	1:4
18.01.20	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Waitakere United	3:4
01.11.19	Waitakere United - Wellington Phoenix 2	3:1
19.01.19	Waitakere United - Wellington Phoenix 2	0:2
02.11.18	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Waitakere United	1:5
20.01.18	Waitakere United - Wellington Phoenix 2	2:3
04.11.17	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Waitakere United	0:5

Wellington Phoenix 2 - Waitakere United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide