Match Info

Date: 6 February 2021, Saturday


	Southport		Torquay United

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.9	1.5
	4.7	4	1.55
	4.5	3.85	1.59
	4.96	4.09	1.66
	4.8	3.9	1.6
	4.7	4.3	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.82 ↓ (5.23)	4.01 ↓ (4.13)	1.59 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southport
19.1%

Draw
23%

Torquay United
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.5%

22.1%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

12.9%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Torquay United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southport than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Southport, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torquay United than the current prediction. (-22.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Torquay United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Southport - Torquay United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Southport is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Torquay is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Southport could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Southport have a series of guest games.

In this match Torquay is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Southport won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Southport won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southport
English FA Trophy
19.01.21	Halifax Town - Southport	1:2 ✺
English National League North
26.12.20	Southport - Curzon Ashton	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
19.12.20	Spennymoor Town - Southport	2:3 penalties ✺
15.12.20	Marine - Southport	0:1 ✺
English National League North
12.12.20	Guiseley - Southport	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WTWWL
- Torquay United
English National League
02.02.21	Torquay United - Altrincham	1:2 ✺
30.01.21	Barnet - Torquay United	0:2 ✺
26.01.21	Torquay United - Sutton United	0:0 ✺
23.01.21	Notts County - Torquay United	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
19.01.21	Boreham Wood - Torquay United	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
11.03.17	Southport - Torquay United	1:2
29.10.16	Torquay United - Southport	1:2
19.03.16	Torquay United - Southport	1:0
10.10.15	Southport - Torquay United	0:1
28.03.15	Southport - Torquay United	2:1
16.08.14	Torquay United - Southport	0:0

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