Match Info

Date: 22 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Plainmoor (Torquay)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Torquay United		Altrincham

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.5	2.3
	2.75	3.25	2.2
	2.95	3.25	2.28
	2.85	3.4	2.25
	3.16	3.35	2.33
	2.9	3.2	2.25
	2.95	3.52	2.24
	2.85	3.45	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (2.95)	3.37 ↓ (3.5)	2.27 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torquay United
31.7%

Draw
27.5%

Altrincham
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

26.3%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

25%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torquay United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Altrincham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torquay United than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altrincham than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Torquay United - Altrincham Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Torquay will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Altrincham will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Altrincham: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Torquay won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Torquay won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Torquay won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torquay United
English FA Cup
18.10.22	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Torquay United	1:2 ✺
15.10.22	Torquay United - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:2 ✺
English National League
08.10.22	York City - Torquay United	1:0 ✺
04.10.22	Torquay United - Maidenhead United	2:3 ✺
01.10.22	Torquay United - Scunthorpe United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WTLLT
- Altrincham
English FA Cup
18.10.22	Gateshead - Altrincham	2:1 ✺
15.10.22	Altrincham - Gateshead	2:2 ✺
English National League
08.10.22	Altrincham - Dorking Wanderers	4:1 ✺
04.10.22	Gateshead - Altrincham	1:3 ✺
01.10.22	Notts County - Altrincham	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
22.01.22	Altrincham - Torquay United	1:2
21.08.21	Torquay United - Altrincham	1:3
29.05.21	Altrincham - Torquay United	0:0
02.02.21	Torquay United - Altrincham	1:2
12.04.16	Torquay United - Altrincham	2:0
31.10.15	Altrincham - Torquay United	1:1
11.04.15	Torquay United - Altrincham	2:0

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