Match Info

National League North - Round 7

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Sir Halley Stewart Playing Field (Spalding)


	Spalding United		Southport

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.70	3.70
	1.78	3.40	3.75
	1.89	3.50	3.30
	1.82	3.78	4.18
	1.88	3.69	3.76	Watch
	1.76	3.70	4.10
	1.82	3.85	3.85
	1.83	3.55	3.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.75)	3.65 ↓ (3.77)	3.79 ↓ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spalding United
50.6%

Draw
25.2%

Southport
24.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52%

24.1%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

23.4%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spalding United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Southport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spalding United than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southport than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Spalding United - Southport Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Cybulski B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
75', 2 - 0, Straughan-Brown S. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Spalding might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Spalding United	11	5	2	4	14:9	5	17
22	Southport	12	2	3	7	13:23	-10	9

Outrights of English National League North for now

Spalding United: 2.15% Southport: 0.73%

Last Results with these Odds

Southport - the odds 3.81 are the expected chance of winning is 23.83%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spalding United
English National League North
31.08.26	South Shields - Spalding United	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Spalding United - Worksop Town	3:1 ✺
22.08.26	Chester - Spalding United	1:0 ✺
18.08.26	Spalding United - Macclesfield Town	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Spalding United - Oxford City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TWLTL
- Southport
English National League North
31.08.26	Southport - Hereford	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Scarborough Athletic - Southport	5:1 ✺
22.08.26	Southport - Bedford Town	4:1 ✺
18.08.26	Hednesford Town - Southport	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Southport - Buxton	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWTT

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