Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 30

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday


	Sparta Katowice		Słowianin Wolibórz

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	3.7
	1.9	3.4	3.4
	1.91	3.5	3.31
	1.91	3.62	3.41	Watch
	1.85	3.3	3.4
	1.88	3.69	3.59	Watch
	2.21	3.51	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.21)	3.49 ↓ (3.51)	3.34 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sparta Katowice
47%

Draw
25.9%

Słowianin Wolibórz
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

25.2%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

25.3%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sparta Katowice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sparta Katowice's performance.

Słowianin Wolibórz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Słowianin Wolibórz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Katowice than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sparta Katowice that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Słowianin Wolibórz than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Słowianin Wolibórz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sparta Katowice - Słowianin Wolibórz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
71', 1 - 0, Mazurek M. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 10).

Recent performances by Sparta Katowice have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Słowianin Wolibórz is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sparta Katowice is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sparta Katowice won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	BKS Sparta Katowice	11	7	3	1	19:7	12	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sparta Katowice
Polish Division 3 - Group III
29.04.26	Pniówek Pawłowice - Sparta Katowice	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Lechia Zielona Góra - Sparta Katowice	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Sparta Katowice - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	3:1 ✺
11.04.26	Kluczbork - Sparta Katowice	1:0 ✺
02.04.26	Sparta Katowice - Górnik 2 Zabrze	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTWLL
- Słowianin Wolibórz
Polish Division 3 - Group III
01.05.26	Słowianin Wolibórz - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Polonia Nysa - Słowianin Wolibórz	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Słowianin Wolibórz - Carina Gubin	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Lechia Zielona Góra - Słowianin Wolibórz	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Słowianin Wolibórz - Starowice Dolne	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
18.10.25	Słowianin Wolibórz - Sparta Katowice	0:1

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