Match Info

Chance Liga - Championship Group - Round 5

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: epet ARENA (Prague)

Referee: Machalek J. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo


	Sparta Prague		Hradec Králové

	1	X	2
	1.2	6	10	Watch
	1.63	3.9	4.8
	1.23	6.1	9.8	Watch
	1.22	6.76	11.44
	1.32	5.26	8.79	Watch
	1.22	6	11
	1.23	6.87	10.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.69)	5.84 ↑ (3.77)	9.53 ↑ (4.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sparta Prague
73.7%

Draw
16.3%

Hradec Králové
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

24.8%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

26.2%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sparta Prague has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sparta Prague's performance.

Hradec Králové has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hradec Králové might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Prague than the current prediction. (-15.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sparta Prague that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hradec Králové than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hradec Králové could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Sparta Prague - Hradec Králové Predictions

Users Predictions: Sparta Prague will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Surovcik J. (G) 4. Martinec J. 25. Sorensen A. 30. Zeleny J. 17. Sonne O. 6. Kairinen K. 38. Sochurek H. 7. Mercado J. 9. Rrahmani A. 10. Kuchta J. 22. Haraslin L. (C)	1. Vizek P. (G) 7. Uhrincat J. 4. Petrasek T. (C) 5. Cihak F. 2. Ludvicek D. 19. Neto E. 17. Mihalik O. 26. Horak D. 21. Ponikelsky S. 18. Regza M. 23. Binar A.
Substitutes
5. Eneme S. 18. Irving A. 61. Kerl Dan. (G) 36. Kuol G. 20. Mannsverk S. 11. Rynes M. 19. Sevinsky A. 29. Vojta M. 66. Zajac S. (G)	9. Cmelik L. 14. Hodek J. 77. Kubr L. 24. Umar A. 20. Vagner M. (G) 12. Zadrazil A. (G) 8. Zentrich V.
Coaches
Priske B.	Horejs D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Ludvicek D. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Mercado J. ⚽, Kuchta J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 2 - 1, Rrahmani A. ⚽, Zeleny J. (A),
57', Binar A. ↓, Kubr L. ↑,
57', Neto E. ↓, Cmelik L. ↑,
63', Cihak F. 🟨,
65', Cihak F. ↓, Hodek J. ↑,
69', Zeleny J. ↓, Rynes M. ↑,
69', Sochurek H. ↓, Eneme S. ↑,
76', Ponikelsky S. ↓, Zentrich V. ↑,
76', Regza M. ↓, Umar A. ↑,
76', Kuchta J. ↓, Irving A. ↑,
76', Haraslin L. ↓, Kuol G. ↑,
78', Cmelik L. 🟨,
83', Kairinen K. ↓, Mannsverk S. ↑,
90+4', Vizek P. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sparta Prague won 4.

Sparta Prague has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hradec Králové is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sparta Prague may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sparta Prague is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Sparta Prague: Andersen M. (Knee Injury) Chavez J. (Thigh Injury) Cobbaut E. (Groin Injury) Grimaldo J. (Muscle Injury) Penxa O. (Knee Injury) Uchenna E. (Groin Injury) Vindahl P. (Foot Injury) Vydra P. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Hradec Králové: Cech F. (Injury) Chvatal J. (Convalescence) Dancak S. (Injury) Darida V. (Rest) Pilar V. (Muscle Injury) Suchomel M. (Loan agreement) van Buren M. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Sparta Prague: Kaderabek P. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Hradec Králové: Kucera J. (Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Sparta Prague won 14 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 35:11. (average 2.1:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Sparta Prague won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:6. (average 2.3:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Sparta Prague	9	5	0	4	18:12	6	15
9	Hradec Kralove	10	4	2	4	10:13	-3	14

Last Results with these Odds

Hradec Králové - the odds 4.66 are the expected chance of winning is 20.03%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Sparta Prague
Czech 1 Liga
17.05.26	Slovan Liberec - Sparta Prague	0:2 ✺
12.05.26	Sparta Prague - Viktoria Plzeň	0:0 ✺
09.05.26	Slavia Prague - Sparta Prague	Sparta Prague Awarded ✺
03.05.26	Sparta Prague - Jablonec	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Bohemians 1905 - Sparta Prague	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WT?WL
- FC Hradec Králové
Czech 1 Liga
17.05.26	Hradec Králové - Slavia Prague	3:1 ✺
13.05.26	Hradec Králové - Slovan Liberec	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	Jablonec - Hradec Králové	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Viktoria Plzeň - Hradec Králové	3:1 ✺
25.04.26	Teplice - Hradec Králové	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Czech 1 Liga
15.02.26	Sparta Prague - Hradec Králové	2:0
14.09.25	Hradec Králové - Sparta Prague	2:1
09.02.25	Sparta Prague - Hradec Králové	3:0
31.08.24	Hradec Králové - Sparta Prague	0:2
17.03.24	Sparta Prague - Hradec Králové	2:1
08.10.23	Hradec Králové - Sparta Prague	1:3
18.03.23	Hradec Králové - Sparta Prague	0:2

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