Match Info

Date: 28 July 2021, Wednesday


	Sparta Prague		Rapid Wien

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.8	4	Watch
	1.91	3.9	3.4
	1.95	3.8	3.6
	1.85	3.75	3.55
	1.96	3.95	3.68
	1.85	3.5	3.6	Watch
	1.9	3.85	3.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.87)	3.79 ↓ (3.84)	3.62 ↑ (3.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sparta Prague
49.5%

Draw
24.7%

Rapid Wien
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

24.3%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

16.5%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sparta Prague has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Rapid Wien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Prague than the current prediction. (-15.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sparta Prague that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rapid Wien than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rapid Wien could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.2%	6.9%	6.9%

Sparta Prague - Rapid Wien Predictions

Users Predictions: Sparta Prague will win (100 of 116 users predict this - 86.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.94% – 92.48%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.

Recent matches Sparta Prague is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rapid is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rapid could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Rapid have a series of home games.

Sparta Prague will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sparta Prague won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Sparta Prague
Czech 1 Liga
24.07.21	Sparta Prague - Sigma Olomouc	3:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.07.21	Rapid Wien - Sparta Prague	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.21	Sparta Prague - Dynamo Moscow	2:2 ✺
09.07.21	Wolfsberger - Sparta Prague	3:2 ✺
07.07.21	Sparta Prague - Spittal	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLTLW
- Rapid Wien
Austrian Bundesliga
24.07.21	Rapid Wien - Hartberg	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.07.21	Rapid Wien - Sparta Prague	2:1 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
16.07.21	Rapid Wien - Wiener Viktoria	6:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.07.21	Rapid Wien - Copenhagen	1:0 ✺
07.07.21	Rapid Wien - St. Pölten	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
20.07.21	Rapid Wien - Sparta Prague	2:1

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