Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL 2 - DIVISION A GOLD - FALL SEASON - ROUND 15

Date: 22 October 2023, Sunday


	Spartak Kostroma		Murom

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.35	3.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.95)	3.35 ↑ (3.24)	3.44 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Kostroma
46.5%

Draw
27.1%

Murom
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

28%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

28.3%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Kostroma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spartak Kostroma's performance.

Murom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Murom might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Kostroma than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spartak Kostroma that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murom than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Murom could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
68. Gaydash M. (G) 10. Barsov M. 3. Bugriev S. (C) 88. Glushakov D. 55. Kazarinov A. 78. Kiselev G. 24. Kudryashov I. 21. Sabusov D. 2. Solovjev A. 16. Trapper J. 5. Vegerya R.	32. Prisyazhnenko N. (G) 23. Agureev D. 24. Azyavin I. 88. Chupin V. 67. Kozlov V. 9. Nadolskiy A. 17. Pershin Y. 4. Vedernikov D. 30. Volkov A. 21. Yanov D. 19. Zapalatskiy S. (C)
Substitutes
25. Barinov D. (G) 69. Chursin K. 40. Genchu N. 23. Kubyshkin I. 70. Maryanov A. 9. Melnikov N. 77. Miroshnichenko D. 4. Supranovich N. 99. Terekhov D. (G) 98. Vyaznikov A. 8. Zemskov M.	10. Agaronyan M. 28. Butakov E. 7. Chaukin L. 47. Gabdullin I. 61. Gystarov R. 3. Plopa M. 11. Sysuev D. 25. Trunin I. (G) 5. Zinovic D.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Spring Season: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Spring Season: )).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Spartak Kostroma won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Spartak Kostroma won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartak Kostroma
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
15.10.23	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Spartak Kostroma	1:2 ✺
01.10.23	Spartak Kostroma - Dynamo Bryansk	3:1 ✺
23.09.23	Volga Ulyanovsk - Spartak Kostroma	0:0 ✺
17.09.23	Spartak Kostroma - Krasnodar 2	0:1 ✺
03.09.23	Spartak Kostroma - Rotor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WWTLL
- FC Murom
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
15.10.23	Murom - Dynamo Bryansk	3:1 ✺
01.10.23	Murom - Krasnodar 2	2:3 ✺
23.09.23	Irtysh Omsk - Murom	0:0 ✺
17.09.23	Murom - Ufa	0:3 ✺
03.09.23	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Murom	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
27.08.23	Murom - Spartak Kostroma	2:1
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
02.10.22	Murom - Spartak Kostroma	1:0
Russian PFL West
20.10.17	Murom - Spartak Kostroma	0:0
27.07.17	Spartak Kostroma - Murom	1:3

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