Match Info

FNL - Round 12

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: Trud Stadium (Ulyanovsk)

Referee: Galimov Y. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Sport TV


	Volga Ulyanovsk		Spartak Kostroma

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.18	2.6
	2.8	3.1	2.5
	2.9	3.15	2.59	Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.8)	3.13 ↓ (3.21)	2.51 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Volga Ulyanovsk
32.9%

Draw
29.8%

Spartak Kostroma
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

29.7%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

30.5%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volga Ulyanovsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Spartak Kostroma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volga Ulyanovsk than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Kostroma than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Volga Ulyanovsk - Spartak Kostroma Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Shakerov R. (G) 50. Bykov A. 4. Ibragimov K. 30. Khabibullin A. 11. Khashkulov A. 99. Kostin A. 3. Krasilnichenko O. 7. Nikitin A. 22. Rakhmanov D. 55. Saplinov A. 5. Stepanov D.	68. Gaydash M. (G) 21. Bugarin M. 90. Kalmykov A. 17. Kaptilovich D. 10. Karaev D. 7. Malyarov K. 6. Mohammadi N. 22. Nemchenko A. 87. Spahic A. 2. Tarasov N. 5. Zhilmostnykh D.
Substitutes
77. Bagatelia L. 88. Dziov M. 9. Folmer K. 17. Gershun I. 60. Kasyanov I. 95. Khodanovich A. (G) 20. Kovalev K. 76. Livadnov V. 28. Novikov D. 8. Rakhmanov D. 10. Shagiakhmetov R. 14. Yakovlev V.	3. Bugriev S. 70. Chervyakov R. 69. Chursin K. 8. Demchenko N. 11. Ghurtskaia D. 18. Kamilov V. 73. Kirakosyan D. 96. Mokhammad A. 82. Nikiforenko O. 66. Nikiforov M. 13. Rubtsov I. 50. Shamov E. (G)
Coaches
Tuskaev A.	Ashikhmin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Kalmykov A. ⚽,
36', Krasilnichenko O. ↓, Bagatelia L. ↑,
41', Bykov A. 🟨,
42', Zhilmostnykh D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rakhmanov D. ↓, Shagiakhmetov R. ↑,
59', Spahic A. ↓, Chursin K. ↑,
59', Karaev D. ↓, Kamilov V. ↑,
70', Mohammadi N. ↓, Mokhammad A. ↑,
74', Khabibullin A. 🟨,
76', Kostin A. ↓, Folmer K. ↑,
76', Nikitin A. ↓, Yakovlev V. ↑,
76', Khabibullin A. ↓, Dziov M. ↑,
84', Kaptilovich D. ↓, Kirakosyan D. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 13th and 4th in the Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Volga Ulyanovsk won 2.

In recent outings, Volga Ulyanovsk has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Spartak Kostroma is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Volga Ulyanovsk has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:7 (averaging 1.1:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Volga Ulyanovsk against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 2:2 goals (averaging 0.7:0.7 per game).

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

S. Kostroma: 6.02% Ulyanovsk: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	S. Kostroma	12	7	3	2	16:10	6	24
11	Ulyanovsk	13	4	2	7	16:19	-3	14

Last Results with these Odds

Volga Ulyanovsk - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 34.1%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Volga Ulyanovsk
Russian FNL
13.09.26	Ufa - Volga Ulyanovsk	2:2 ✺
Russian Cup
09.09.26	Volgar Astrakhan - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:1 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
05.09.26	Volga Ulyanovsk - Arsenal Tula	3:0 ✺
30.08.26	Nizhny Novgorod - Volga Ulyanovsk	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Volga Ulyanovsk - Shinnik	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 TWWTL
- Spartak Kostroma
Russian FNL
14.09.26	Spartak Kostroma - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:0 ✺
Russian Cup
08.09.26	Ryazan - Spartak Kostroma	0:2 ✺
Russian FNL
05.09.26	Chelyabinsk - Spartak Kostroma	0:1 ✺
31.08.26	Spartak Kostroma - Rotor	1:0 ✺
21.08.26	Torpedo Moscow - Spartak Kostroma	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
28.03.26	Volga Ulyanovsk - Spartak Kostroma	1:0
29.09.25	Spartak Kostroma - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:1
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
04.05.25	Spartak Kostroma - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:1
16.03.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - Spartak Kostroma	1:2
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
30.03.24	Spartak Kostroma - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:2
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
23.09.23	Volga Ulyanovsk - Spartak Kostroma	0:0
30.07.23	Spartak Kostroma - Volga Ulyanovsk	3:2

Upcoming Matches